Search Results for “probability” – Page 36

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

We continue our series of wondering about the foundations of science. Not only is mechanistic materialism false, for the many reasons we'll discuss, but it is a thoroughly enervating philosophy.…

Philosophy

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

This belongs to the realm of supposition. I do not know if it's true, only that it seems possible. I do know that there must be a "Reenchantment of the…

Statistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Thanks to EMM for the donation! I was interviewed by Duncan Thorin Shields (he goes by Thorin) last week. He asked the best questions I think I've ever been asked.…

Statistics

AI Needs To Feed On Fresh Meat, Or It Dies

In Asimov's original Foundation, a novel set amidst a fading and decaying Empire, one saturated in hubris and self-esteem, we meet Lord Dorwin, a celebrated scholar from the Galactic Empire,…

Statistics

Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report

There was another Broken Science event this past weekend in the Phoenix area. Yours Truly was there. I gather the videos will be on line at some point, at the…

Philosophy Statistics

Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge

From Mars, John Carter reports in a wonderful essay discussing the Regime's attempts at manipulation says this: People don’t like being gaslit. The psychological techniques used by salesmen, con men,…

Philosophy

What Parts Of Reality Does Science Describe, And Which Parts Are Merely Constructs?

A rose would not smell as sweet if it was called, as it likely is called in German, a sourbloodpetal. Or whatever. Naming things, getting the good names for things,…

Steve on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026
I've come to expect much better from Ianto Watt. I'm not talking about the Daniel stuff -- people have and…
John M on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 13, 2026
It always annoys me when people try to guess what God is specifically going to do.
JH on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 10, 2026
Would Trump attack China or Russia? Why not? Bullying is wrong. War is wrong. [H]is specialty is obfuscation… lol. And…
JH on Justice Ketanji RoarsApril 10, 2026
Although I have not taught many Black students, I have observed that the most academically talented Black students perform at…
JH on Proof!April 10, 2026
Lincoln’s ”Fragments on Slavery” c. 1854 If A. can prove, however conclusively, that he may, of right, enslave B.—why may…