Posted inFun
How’d We Do On Our 2020 Predicitons?
Dismally. Lousy. That's how we did on our 2020 predictions. Nobody saw the global insanity of the lockdowns, the Cult of the Mask, the covidiots, the scale of the election…
Posted inStatistics
Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland
This piece ran originally at The American Catholic, but Kurland graciously allowed us to re-run it here. It is a topic of deep interest for us. INTRODUCTION We keep reading…
Posted inStatistics
FDA Releases Pfizer COVID Vaccine Safety Data: Should You Take It?
WHO'S IN CHARGE FDA report is here. Before discussing it, I want to emphasize that making this vaccine mandatory is evil, the work of tyrants. There is nothing in the…
Posted inClass Statistics
Control Groups With No Cancers In Hormesis Data Sets
A well known paper by Duport et al. on radiation hormesis makes a statement about control groups which is not quite right. The paper is "Database of Radiogenic Cancer in…
Posted inClass Statistics
Why The Bootstrap Seems To Work—And Why It Produces Over-Certainty
Let's drag the statistician's hoary threadbare ball-filled bag out of the cupboard to make a point. In it are 3 white balls and 2 black. Using the statistical syllogism, we…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXV: The Suppression Of Hydroxychloroquine & Other Conspiracies
The first section of this are fun conspiracies to highlight the political crisis. The second section are the numbers showing the medical crisis is over. The third section discusses the…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!
Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…
Posted inClass Statistics
The Doomsday Argument Is Doomed: Flawed Application Of Bayes
The WSJ on 27 June 2019 published an essay by William Poundstone on the hoary Doomsday Argument. Many are fooled by this equation, which contains a fundamental, even glaring, flaw.…
