Posted inStatistics
What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…
Posted inStatistics
The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator
"Random" numbers are in hot demand. They're needed, for instance, in cryptography, to keep things like your bank account secure, and in science, where they're used in simulating complex systems.…
Posted inStatistics
How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?
Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors
The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…
Posted inFun
The Time Is Now For It To Be Now. Again.
What's Up? Time for our biannual update, dear readers. My forays into this new thing called "video" have, at long last, begun. It took me so long because I do…
Posted inStatistics
All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False
Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Somebody Might Get Hurt!
For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Stars In Our Eyes, Rotting Our Minds
For the closing days of summer, I am posting every chapter of the first edition of Everything You Believe Is Wrong. My enemies ravaged the first edition, inserting typos galore…