Search Results for “probability” – Page 41

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…

Philosophy Statistics

Are Chance Or Randomness Real After All?

From reader Nick L comes this question (in which I hope I have properly rendered the Greek): I am still regularly enjoying your blog. I notice one of your consistent…

Culture

Sit Still — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

The hardest thing for any (sane) man to do is to sit still and take it like a real man. Especially when the 'it' is delivered by a shrieking witch.…

Statistics

What Lousy Philosophy Tells Us About Belief In Global Warming

One reason people doubt global-warming-of-doom is because of lousy philosophers like N. Ángel Pinillos (note the New York Times-sophisticated inclusion of the accent). He wrote a piece entitled (in some…

Philosophy

How Can Any Religion Have A Monopoly On Truth?

Soak this up (emphasis original): By the time she turned up in New York, [Justina Walford's] faith had long since unraveled, a casualty of overseas travel that made her question…

Philosophy Statistics

What Are P-Values?

Contributor William Raynor sets us a task: Hi Matt, ...I'd still like to see if you can write a column about what an empirical p-value really is without mentioning the…

Statistics

When We Abandon Statistical Significance, Non-Statisticians Will Resist The Strongest

Regular readers will know the arguments and evidence proving P-values should no longer be used for any reason. If you still doubt, which I doubt, read this paper. Every decision…

Statistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…

Uncle Mike on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 9, 2025
The Climate Catastrophe paradigm is dead. RIP. The old adherents are howling at the moon, but Science has moved on.…
Cloudbuster on Don’t Lose Sleep Over Research On “Climate Change” & Sleep ApneaJuly 9, 2025
"New York and Ohio, which are cool" Please explain to my sweat glands how Ohio is cool so I shouldn't…
Cary Cotterman on What’s Wrong With The Golf Course Parkinson’s StudyJuly 8, 2025
There is a significant correlation between golf and the wearing of ugly pants.
Rudolph Harrier on What’s Wrong With The Golf Course Parkinson’s StudyJuly 8, 2025
Yeah, the second I heard "Olmstead County" my mind went to the Mayo Clinic too. Both the Mayo Clinic proper…
Briggs on What’s Wrong With The Golf Course Parkinson’s StudyJuly 8, 2025
Mike, Ha! Thanks for that.