Posted inStatistics
On That Fluoride-IQ Study & Statistical Silliness
I am in the Northwoods at the water's edge, far from the teeming masses, and I only had time to glance through this new study that claims that women who…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof
Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Non-Empirical Confirmation Of Theories
Difficulties "Fundamental physics today faces the problem that empirical testing of its core hypotheses is very difficult to achieve and even more difficult to be made conclusive," says Richard Dawid…
Posted inClass Statistics
How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
Posted inStatistics
Reader Question: Sinking Feeling Organizational Psychology May Have Fundamental Flaws
From reader Paul comes this important question (I eliminated personal information to keep the reader's anonymity): I'm reading through your book, "Uncertainty" and while I enjoy the philosophical approach to…
Posted inStatistics
What People Think Probability Words Mean
The graph above came from Github and was the result of a poll of folks on Reddit. "The raw data came from /r/samplesize responses to the following question: What [probability/number]…
Posted inFun
Register Your Predictions For 2019!
As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…
Posted inClass Statistics
The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials
There was a paper a short while back, "Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results", by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows. Krauss says,…
