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Profess Belief In The Science Or Be Arrested For Hate Crimes
Posted inCulture

Profess Belief In The Science Or Be Arrested For Hate Crimes

One of our Elite Experts, with a certified degree in expertology, is getting tired of the sour looks the uncredentialed give him and his fellow Experts when they blunder, make…
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Claiming To Be Able To Blame Weather Events On Global Warming
Posted inStatistics

Claiming To Be Able To Blame Weather Events On Global Warming

This is not a big story, but it's worth highlighting because of the pernicious effects of science journalism, which suffers from the same faults as political journalism. Emphasis on extremes,…
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Posted inStatistics

A Note On Mathematical Axioms (With Regard To Sizes Of Infinity)

This isn't easy going, but there's a story out, with a very good write up in Quanta, on mathematical axioms, as they apply to different sizes of infinity. Key paragraph:…
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Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update
Posted inFun

Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update

It was remarked the other day that a comment moderation system of some kind should be used here on the blog. The reason is that are some people who come…
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France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX
Posted inStatistics

France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX

FRENCH FARCE https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1414668383316938752 The French nation has descended into Effeminacy. No man may buy or sell with the Mark of the Vex. NEOLOGISM Hyperpole, n: extravagant exaggeration by politicians in…
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How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
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Solution To The Kind-Hearted Magician — REVEALED!
Posted inStatistics

Solution To The Kind-Hearted Magician — REVEALED!

Kip Hansen last week gave us the following scenario (which I've pared to bare essentials here, but check the original if you fret): START Sam shows us three cards, two…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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  1. John Pate on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Now do Synchronicity.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  3. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

  4. Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…

  5. Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…

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