Posted inFun
Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update
It was remarked the other day that a comment moderation system of some kind should be used here on the blog. The reason is that are some people who come…
Posted inStatistics
France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX
FRENCH FARCE https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1414668383316938752 The French nation has descended into Effeminacy. No man may buy or sell with the Mark of the Vex. NEOLOGISM Hyperpole, n: extravagant exaggeration by politicians in…
Posted inStatistics
How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
Posted inStatistics
Solution To The Kind-Hearted Magician — REVEALED!
Kip Hansen last week gave us the following scenario (which I've pared to bare essentials here, but check the original if you fret): START Sam shows us three cards, two…
Posted inPhilosophy
Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
Posted inStatistics
The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
Posted inStatistics
Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests
This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…
Posted inStatistics
Absolute Vs. Relative Risk Reduction; Trump Likes Vaccines; The Fabulous Fauci; Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam Getting Theirs; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIII
WE CONTINUE The consensus---and we never buck consensii; consensuses?---was to keep these updates going for the time being, but expanding their scope. I have therefore cut back on some of…