Posted inStatistics
You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds
Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…
Posted inStatistics
A Simple (But Not Short) Stats Question
From reader JH: Thank you again for taking the time to write your blog. It is exceptionally thought-provoking. My job involves much of the six sigma "capability" studies and such.…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Why Decision Analysis Isn’t Straightforward
Vast subject, decision analysis, but we can get a grip on a corner of it if we consider the simplest of problems, the do-don't do, yes-no, gonna happen-ain't gonna happen,…
Posted inStatistics
DDP: Quack Cures For What Doesn’t Ail Us, Part II
I'm at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness meeting in No-History City, Louisiana. Here's Part II of (an earlier draft of) the speech I gave Saturday. Consider donating $1 for every…
Posted inPhilosophy
Atheists Can’t Trust Reason — Or Anything
I saw on Twitter another version of the old you-can't-trust-reason-without-God argument, under the title "On the futility of attempting rational discourse with atheists." It went like this. 1. Anyone who…
Posted inStatistics
Chapter 10 of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics FREE for New Subscribers!
Today a deal so unbelievable that it can't be believed! No, wait. In fact, the deal was so unbelievable that it couldn't be believed. This follows logically: that which is…
Posted inStatistics
The Alternative To Null Hypothesis Significance Testing
This article jumps right in with continuous-valued probability models, which are explained in Uncertainty, as is the subject of this article in great detail. This article is only a rough…
Posted inBook review Statistics
‘Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics’ Reviewed Again
The following review appeared in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons (pdf). Jane Orient is the lead doc at Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, publishers of the journal.…
