Posted inStatistics
Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause
The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Neural Nets Really Are: Or, Artificial Intelligence Pioneer Says Start Over
There is ancient wisdom in the phrase never believe your own press that computer scientists have laid aside in their quest to discover "artificial" "intelligence". In the Axios article "Artificial…
Posted inClass Statistics
Free Statistics Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part I
Regular readers know Uncertainty proposes we go back to the old way of examining and making conclusions about data, and eschew many innovations of the 20th Century. No p-values, no…
Posted inBook review Statistics
Preface to Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics
The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book's official…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think
Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes's Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows,…
Posted inStatistics
Journal Hoax Shows Limits Of Scientific Publication
Stream: Hoax Shows Limits of Scientific Journals So the Neuroskeptic, a blogger for Discover magazine, submitted a nonsense paper to several journals, some of which accepted and even published it.…
Posted inStatistics
Infinity & Probability: A Return To The Finite
There is a discussion of infinity and an argument to return to the discrete and finite in my upcoming book Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Infinity is…
Posted inStatistics
Don’t Use Statistical Models (When You Don’t Have To. Which Is Nearly Always)
Today, a convincing argument proving the current practice of probability and statistics is mostly wrong, or wrong-headed. The picture above does---and does not---show herbicide use in several countries by year…
