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How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question
Posted inStatistics

How To Really Check For Global Warming: Reader Question

From Alan Tomalty we have this question: No one has been able to separate out the amount of warming due to natural causes and amount due to CO2. Therefore I…
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There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm
Posted inStatistics

There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm

Also see this important update: Bad Arguments For Lockdowns & The Burden Of Proof. Also: US States Analysis. The US has a little more than 4% of the world population.…
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Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XI — Robbing The Cemeteries To Pad Death Totals

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus
Posted inStatistics

Taleb Chastises Calm Journalist, Advises Precautionary Panic To Coronavirus

Background Some blue check journalist named Ferris Jabr, in a raw display of sobriety for a member of the Indigo Cheka, said None of this is to belittle what is…
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On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
Posted inStatistics

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
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How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?
Posted inCulture Fun

How’d We Do On Our 2019 Predictions?

A strong no prize this year. Nobody did well enough. Not enough specific predictions, or those that were specific did not come to pass. Doom predictions are too easy: they…
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Scientists On Average Growing Dumber: 11,000 Scientists Want You To Die To SAVE THE PLANET
Posted inStatistics

Scientists On Average Growing Dumber: 11,000 Scientists Want You To Die To SAVE THE PLANET

We talked many times of the expansion effect. A small core of experts, real and true great (or at least good) minds on some subject, are injected by design with…
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Synod Leaders Sign Pact Of Extreme Global Warming, Silly Walks
Posted inCulture

Synod Leaders Sign Pact Of Extreme Global Warming, Silly Walks

Over the weekend, so ace report Edward Pentin tells us, leaders at the Amazon Synod signed a document "Pact of the Catacombs for the Common Home", an echo of an…
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  1. JH on Why Study Probability?November 14, 2025

     Then some decision rule that says “This much departure from uniformity means loading.” Which rule may be different for you…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Thanks, Matt, but you haven't answered my question, either then or now. The last time I asked, I got this…

  3. Uncle Mike on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Or, Willis, you could take the course, study the classes, do the homework. Then, quite possibly, or even probably, you…

  4. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    Willis, I have answered the question each and every time. Go back and look at when you asked, and you'll…

  5. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 13, 2025

    This is my third time asking, and I'm beginning to think you're avoiding me. I have a single die. I…

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