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Posted inStatistics

On UFOs, Salt Intake, And Heart Disease

Michael "State of Fear" Crichton once proposed that UFOs were responsible for global warming. Why not? After all, something caused that record amount of snow in Detroit yesterday. Don't get…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Explanation Vs Prediction

Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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Posted inCulture

Final Proof Global Warming Purely Political

Regular readers will have expected the next installment in our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. This will appear next week after my class is over. I may say that the…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Philosophic Issues in Cosmology: I. Introduction—Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Scientific Idea Is Ready For Retirement? Hypothesis Tests

Edge asked a whopping number of named persons which ideas are ready to be expunged from the thing that is Science. Somehow my invitation got lost in the aether, an…
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Posted inStatistics

Live From Heartland Climate Conference, Wrap Up

Profound thanks I cannot say enough about the generosity of my benefactor, who not only footed the bill for my trip, but wined and dined and rummed our Secret Society…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Statistics Really Is: Part Last

Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    Sorry, the same printer's devils who occasionally sabotage Dr. Brigg's publications must have attacked my previous post; Should read; "ouroboros".…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    I just thunk up a term to describe this scientiststic strain of thought (hmm, is that one pun or two?);…

  3. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They didn't include the red meat is bad thing, they need to try harder, 7/10.

  4. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They got the temperature increase, sugar is bad and disadvantaged affected disproportionately things in but there's no red meat kills…

  5. Cookie on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 17, 2025

    The cure for recidivism has always been hanging.

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