Posted inStatistics
Class 43: The Causal Path
Apologies: I meant to have this run on Thursday, but a huge burst of snowy spring came through and knocked out power all yesterday morning. First: Almost all models are…
Posted inStatistics
Class 41: What Is Cause Like?
Every probability and statistics class I've ever heard of starts with math applied to observations---with all notions of what probability is and what cause means brushed aside. By the time…
Posted inStatistics
The Mann Act: Banning All Fossil Fuels Immediately To Save The Planet
I don't want us to make too much of the individual behind the brief confession we're about to dissect, because if it wasn't him leading Team Irrationality, it would be…
Posted inStatistics
Global Warming To Create Cold Which Will Cause Mass Extinctions: Experts’ Model
Reporter Leslie Stahl once had herself filmed walking by a power plant's smokestack. She said, "There could be anything coming out of there." Unless "we" acted. She asked her ardent…
Posted inCulture
Mark Steyn Vs. The Appalling Michael Mann — Guest Post by Richard Law
I met Steyn once at one of the bigger sober global warming meetings. Back when we still called it global warming. I think he was just then beginning his troubles…
Posted inCulture
Bring Back Global Warming — Guest Post by Richard Law
'Rio de Janeiro is a city in South America. It is the capital of Brazil. It exports coffee and sugar. It has a tropical climate', so wrote the first form…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors
The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…
Posted inStatistics
The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
