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William M. Briggs

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Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Posted by By Briggs April 16, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Posted by By Briggs April 15, 2026
Continue Reading
How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer
Posted inStatistics

How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer

Question from Anon (with added paragraphifications): Message: Dear Dr Briggs, I am a lay man in statistics, who has tried to avoid this kind of sport as much as possible,…
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“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”
Posted inStatistics

“No Convincing Evidence That Depression Is Associated With, Or Caused By, Lower Serotonin Concentrations Or Activity”

That lack of, or low, serotonin drives "depression" is a medial truism, say many. Those who say it most strongly are those companies manufacturing chemicals to boost serotonin levels (or…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Confession Must Be Serial
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Confession Must Be Serial

Previous post. As last week, falling from grace after receiving it happens. Confession is only for the past. THAT A MAN SINNING AFTER THE GRACE OF THE SACRAMENTS CAN BE…
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Why The “Climate Emergency”?
Posted inStatistics

Why The “Climate Emergency”?

The powers that run Biden are pushing him to declare a "climate emergency." I don't know the exact strengths and motivations of the elites touting this inside the White House,…
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San Francisco Proves Asians Are Horribly Racist To Blacks
Posted inCulture

San Francisco Proves Asians Are Horribly Racist To Blacks

The San Francisco Board of Education released a slew of stats on high school performance, broken down by race. We knew the answers in advance: Asians do best, then whites,…
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A People’s History of COVID-19
Posted inStatistics

A People’s History of COVID-19

This essay first appeared at Mars Review of Books. SCIENCE Listen to The Science! Here is what The Science said: Stay inside for two weeks and we’ll flatten the curve.…
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Probability is Logic
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…
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Climate Change Now Causes People To Become Angry At LGBTQWERTies
Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Now Causes People To Become Angry At LGBTQWERTies

Let's you and I play a little game. I'm going to give you an out-of-context sentence, and you see if you can guess that context. The answer is given below,…
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  1. John Pate on Contest Winner Announced!April 17, 2026

    The Austrian Painter is too milquetoast for me. I'm holding out for Vlad the Impaler.

  2. John Pate on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 17, 2026

    What is this rambling word salad. Grok could do better. Anyway, ZionDon is just doing his bit for the Great…

  3. Norbert on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 17, 2026

    Certain statements in the blogpost are perhaps careless and may lead to non-Catholic thinking. For reference, the following is the…

  4. Alain Petit on Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine, ReviewedApril 16, 2026

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CNbmoVdirxw&pp=0gcJCdMKAYcqIYzv

  5. Klara Castagna on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 16, 2026

    Ianto, I luv ya man, I bought and read your book ‘The Barbarian Bible’ - everyone should buy it and…

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