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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
How People Think Their False Ideas Are True
Posted inBook review

How People Think Their False Ideas Are True

This is the complete Appendix from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Brace Yourself The Two Ways Arguments Go Wrong At this point, I am hoping the reader does a little…
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The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues
Posted inStatistics

The Difference In Means & Why P-Values Should Not Be Used — Excerpt From The Lake Michigan Dialogues

"Say, Briggs. Since you're Statistician to the Stars!, explain to me how I can tell if two means are different in a simple way that even I can understand." You…
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Army To Lower Women’s Pay, Keep Men’s Higher Pay
Posted inCulture

Army To Lower Women’s Pay, Keep Men’s Higher Pay

The US Military has announced it will lower women's pay, but will keep men's pay at the same levels. Anita Broad of the National Organization of Woman commented, "That's fair.…
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How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty
Posted inStatistics

How To Generate Scientific Over-Certainty

It's easy to sound more certain than the evidence warrants, especially when using classical parameter-based statistical methods. I'll show you how. I'll give you the procedure first, then work through…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Answering Criticisms Against The Incarnation
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Answering Criticisms Against The Incarnation

Previous post. Part II, and part last, of the rebuttals of the objections against the incarnation. This chapter is what we of a mathematical mind call long. ANSWER TO THE…
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The Consecration Of Russia & Its Consequences To The Global Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Consecration Of Russia & Its Consequences To The Global Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Editor's note: This was written before the Vatican changed the consecration, which Pope Benedict was to attend, to "humanity" with a special emphasis on Ukraine and Russia. The new ceremony…
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Black Woman SCOTUS Nominee, Who Is A Black Woman, Doesn’t Know What A Woman Is
Posted inCulture

Black Woman SCOTUS Nominee, Who Is A Black Woman, Doesn’t Know What A Woman Is

SEN. BLACKBURN: "Can you provide a definition of the word 'woman'?" JACKSON: "No, I can't" BLACKBURN: "You can't?" JACKSON: "I'm not a biologist" Let's think carefully about everything that has…
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How Zealots Rise To The Top: Global Warming & Transanity Examples
Posted inCulture

How Zealots Rise To The Top: Global Warming & Transanity Examples

The main reason you can be assured global warming of doom, a.k.a. climate change, is yet another slow-burn moral panic is that scientists in charge of its theory can never,…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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