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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Summary Against Modern Thought: The Old & New Sacraments
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Old & New Sacraments

Previous post. The old formalisms of the law have become transformed into the new law. THE DISTINCTION OF THE SACRAMENTS OF THE OLD AND THE NEW LAW 1 Next, this…
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Will The Catholic Church Change After German Prelates Say Sodomy Justified By Love?
Posted inCulture

Will The Catholic Church Change After German Prelates Say Sodomy Justified By Love?

Even if you are not a believing Christian, and don't follow the inner workings of the Church, you must acknowledge the importance of both. A major tumult in Christian ranks,…
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Efforts At Officially Defining Scientific Disinformation Continue
Posted inStatistics

Efforts At Officially Defining Scientific Disinformation Continue

Phrases like scientifically valid, the late great philosopher David Stove taught us, signal distress. A writer wants to say valid, a strength word, but somehow can't bring himself to this…
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Emergence Cannot Explain Intelligence — Planetary Or Otherwise
Posted inStatistics

Emergence Cannot Explain Intelligence — Planetary Or Otherwise

Let's have a look at the peer-reviewed paper "Intelligence as a planetary scale process" by Adam Frank, David Grinspsoon and Sara Walker, in the International Journal of Astrobiology. We might…
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Transfallacies — Common Fallacies Used To Justify Transsexualism
Posted inPhilosophy

Transfallacies — Common Fallacies Used To Justify Transsexualism

I don't know why they had a special Day of Visibility for "transgenders". You can't miss men in dresses pretending to be women. They are visibility itself. Nevertheless, the Day…
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Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.
Posted inStatistics

Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.

With the waning of the coronadoom panic, and our elites unable to juice sufficient consternation over Russia, they will have to turn to other objects to monger their fear. Global…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: On The Necessity Of The Sacraments
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: On The Necessity Of The Sacraments

Previous post. Given the Incarnation, crucifixion, and Resurrection happened, it follows the Church is required. ON THE NECESSITY OF THE SACRAMENTS 1 Since, however (as has already been said), the…
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#BoycottDisney — And, After They Surrender, Boycott The Next One
Posted inCulture

#BoycottDisney — And, After They Surrender, Boycott The Next One

Here is one of a series of videos exposing Disney's open conspiracy to groom and corrupt your kids. https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo/status/1508926408332034049 Rufo has many more (example) on his time line. In quick…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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