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William M. Briggs

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Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Happy Birthday to US

Posted by By Briggs July 2, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)

Posted by By Briggs July 1, 2026
Continue Reading
How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
Posted inStatistics

How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment

Due to the length of tomorrow's and today's post, there will be no post Wednesday. Video at bottom. Word is out (I learned via, naturally, Steve Sailer) about a new…
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Posted inStatistics

Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes

Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
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Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist
Posted inStatistics

Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist

If you are here reading this, because some of you might not be here (if you follow me), be thankful you were not invited to Muzainy Shahiefisally's house for Thanksgiving.…
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I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
Posted inStatistics

I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)

It's called "A Manifesto Against the Enemies of Modernity", co-authored with the aptly surnamed Helen Pluckrose. A fisking would produce an article sized to rival Gibbon, since Lindsay and Pluckrose…
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The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation
Posted inStatistics

The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation

If you're an academic, you might think the biggest mistake in science is failing to win the grant, and thus lose the power to calm the Savage Powers that demand…
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement
Posted inStatistics

Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement

Behold! The impenetrable mind of the academic at his work (with my trembling and humble emphasis and paragraphifications): Love (Drugs), Happiness, and Morality Various authors, including myself, have argued that…
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The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids
Posted inStatistics

The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids

Guns, which is to say the arms most commonly used, such as pistols, revolvers and rifles, very infrequently discharge accidentally. Rare incidents have been noted in which weapons fire when…
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  1. Tars Tarkas on Happy Birthday to USJuly 2, 2026

    Our 250th birthday isn't for another 13 years in 2039. It's been 250 years since Independence Day, but we had…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Happy Birthday to USJuly 2, 2026

    I arranged to stretch out my studies so that I would still be in Montreal for the 1976 Olympic games.…

  3. Tars Tarkas on Happy Birthday to USJuly 2, 2026

    Your area didn't have UHF channels in 1976? I was just a boy, but I do remember afternoon cartoons on…

  4. Michael D on Happy Birthday to USJuly 2, 2026

    I watched the count at a friend's house but at home Mom determined what was watched so...

  5. John Pate on Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)July 1, 2026

    Never mind P values, follow the money.

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