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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic

Posted by By Briggs June 17, 2026
Continue Reading
Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement
Posted inStatistics

Academic Proposes Mushrooms To Avoid Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement

Behold! The impenetrable mind of the academic at his work (with my trembling and humble emphasis and paragraphifications): Love (Drugs), Happiness, and Morality Various authors, including myself, have argued that…
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The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids
Posted inStatistics

The Michigan Gun Violence Prevention Task Force Is Wrong: “Guns” are not the leading cause of death in kids

Guns, which is to say the arms most commonly used, such as pistols, revolvers and rifles, very infrequently discharge accidentally. Rare incidents have been noted in which weapons fire when…
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The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
Posted inStatistics

The Perfect Conspiracy Theory

I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
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Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving
Posted inFun

Old Lodge Skins’ Prayer Of Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving! I’m grateful to all of you, especially those who support my work of freeing Science from gross over-certainty, thankful for what I’ve learned from you, for your patience,…
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The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Posted inStatistics

The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow

Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine
Posted inStatistics

Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine

To head this book review, I asked Grok to create an image of the Antichrist in this third, and final, year of reigning over mankind. I asked the model to…
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Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Donald vs Ishmael vs Esau — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I haven’t written for a year. Since Donald won his third term. The reason is because I wanted to see if he learned any lessons. Therefore, I had to watch…
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  1. Rich on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 18, 2026

    Perhaps she and her friends would accept being paid according to the indigenous mathematics of crows who can, apparently, count…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    Lunatics like this Kather are well-paid and get great benefits for putting out hooey like that. People pay a lot…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    Back in the early 1990s, a talking Barbie doll offended a lot of feminists by saying "math class is hard".…

  4. Uncle Mike on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    Hahahaha! Well done. Especially the YT video wherein you can't stop laughing. Me either. It's tragicomic. Old karens, childless, worn…

  5. NLR on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 17, 2026

    The real issue with this is that it is an attempted justification for the studies departments to take over other…

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