William M. Briggs

New Zealand! Where, at the end of the world, men are men, and the sheep are nervous. I don't mean end of the world, you understand, as in the bottom.…

The lurid headline! "Heatwave likely killed 263 people in London, study estimates". The "heatwave" was a small increase in daily temperatures experienced in the UK at the end of this…

We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…

In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…

I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…

I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…

Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn't true. It can't see all evidence. Here's how to do it right. Video https://youtu.be/5yoRSQMWle4 Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble…

I don't often discuss cheating in science, because the conclusion "It's bad, don't do it" doesn't need explication. Even those cheating are clever enough to swear to the conclusion's truth.…