William M. Briggs

RFK, Jr: "When I was a kid, we had shooting clubs at our school." "There's never been a time in America, in the history of humanity, where people walk into…

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…

Dr. Hans G. Schantz, Principal Scientist at the Society for Post-Quantum Physics, is currently crowdfunding Fields & Energy Book I: Fundamentals & Origins of Electromagnetism, the first volume in a…

New Zealand! Where, at the end of the world, men are men, and the sheep are nervous. I don't mean end of the world, you understand, as in the bottom.…

The lurid headline! "Heatwave likely killed 263 people in London, study estimates". The "heatwave" was a small increase in daily temperatures experienced in the UK at the end of this…

We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…

In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…

I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…