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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Posted by By Briggs April 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 2, 2026
Continue Reading
The Various Solutions To Black Crime Analyzed
Posted inStatistics

The Various Solutions To Black Crime Analyzed

Twice last week, that we heard of anyway, two different blacks murdered two different white women. (And of course many others.) The one on the left you know, if you…
Read More
The False Expectation Of Permanence
Posted inStatistics

The False Expectation Of Permanence

As yet another in a long (and growing) line of hilarious jokes, I posted on Twitter a short video of the changing location of the magnetic north pole, from the…
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Astonishing Climate Change Predictions!
Posted inStatistics

Astonishing Climate Change Predictions!

Oh no! What are we to make of this dire prediction of plummeting global temperatures? Let's ask world-wide authority (self-awarded) William M Briggs, Statistician to the Stars! as he takes…
Read More
Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters
Posted inStatistics

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

Many think confidence intervals are an improvement over P-values. Not really, no. There is no one alive, or dead, who interprets a confidence interval as theory demands. All (as in…
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What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

Here's the tweet (translated) from the AfD official channel: Sechs tote AfD-Politiker im NRW-Wahlkampf! Four deaths had already been confirmed. Now, according to current reports from Welt, two more have…
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Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years
Posted inStatistics

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

We've all seen those videos in which hersterical (there is no misspelling) chubby women rant at their cellphone cameras in cars. They begin their fantasies slowly, saying single phrases after…
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Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity
Posted inStatistics

Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity

RFK, Jr: "When I was a kid, we had shooting clubs at our school." "There's never been a time in America, in the history of humanity, where people walk into…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
Posted inStatistics

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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  1. shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    i never watch Hannity or Fox. I'm afraid you misapprehend the fatalistic Shia eschatology. Your flippancy and arrogance are indicative…

  2. Tars Tarkas on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Hey Shawn Marshall, stop watching Hannity and grow up. WTF do "mullahs" in Iran have to do with us? How…

  3. shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    I do pray that the Iranians will be freed from the Mullahs who I do believe want to fashion a…

  4. Johnno on Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb PeopleApril 2, 2026

    Has this Pierre perhaps considered that it is the light of Belgian criminal law and more specifically the anti-racism law…

  5. Johnno on There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft MenApril 2, 2026

    God already foresaw all this. He warned us so in 1916 and provided a solution since 1929, in the run…

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