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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Posted by By Briggs May 4, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!

Anon sent a question about Bertrand's Paradox. The paradox is supposed to show something has gone wrong with our thinking in probability. And it has, but not in the way…
Read More
Canada Votes To Continue Martial Law, Even As Elsewhere Rulers Signal Their Desire to Move On
Posted inStatistics

Canada Votes To Continue Martial Law, Even As Elsewhere Rulers Signal Their Desire to Move On

I want to remind you that our side, except for niggling details, and except for the odd conspiracy theory or two we're still waiting to have verified, has been right…
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Diversity Oaths In Physics Grants Becoming More Common
Posted inCulture

Diversity Oaths In Physics Grants Becoming More Common

When I was at Cornell, I attended a lecture by Alan Guth on inflation. This is the theory that in the early universe gravity was repulsive before it became attractive.…
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Solutions & Lessons From The Trudeau Tyranny: What The Truckers Can Do, And What We Must
Posted inCulture

Solutions & Lessons From The Trudeau Tyranny: What The Truckers Can Do, And What We Must

Question: where are all the Experts shouting about why Canada needs to keep its lockdowns to save lives? Answer: THIS SPACE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Only a dedicated television watcher or…
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Great News: Army Will Now Allow Men To Wear Lipstick, Nail Polish
Posted inCulture

Great News: Army Will Now Allow Men To Wear Lipstick, Nail Polish

The day we have all been waiting for has finally arrived. The famed United States Army will allow men to wear lipstick and nail polish. But only if they also…
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Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper
Posted inStatistics

Harvard Demonstrates How Not To Do Science In New Self-Confirming Mask Paper

Now I ask you: If you have a computer and want to do a simulation, you must write the code for it. Yes? It doesn't matter what form this code…
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Physicists Trying To Show God Not Necessary Prove God Is Necessary
Posted inPhilosophy

Physicists Trying To Show God Not Necessary Prove God Is Necessary

There must be a reason that 2i + 2i = 4i, an unobservable number, as all numbers are, but as is most obvious in numbers like i = sqrt(-1). There…
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Canada Becomes A Dictatorship; Elsewhere, Freedom Seeps In; Weekly All Cause Deaths for US & England
Posted inStatistics

Canada Becomes A Dictatorship; Elsewhere, Freedom Seeps In; Weekly All Cause Deaths for US & England

How much credit, he asked rhetorically, will our side receive for being right about everything? The numbers are below the story. Last week, inspectors noticed certain instabilities and micro-fissures in…
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  1. Johnno on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    This is your brain on the Theory of Evolution. Atheists should be restricted from any and all influential positions within…

  2. John M on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    My old brain still wants to read the acronym as the name Al (lower case L). That's why I like…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 4, 2026

    Can there be an "Artificial Intelligence" that does not contain "Artifacts"?

  4. km on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerMay 3, 2026

    What happens if you choose not to participate?

  5. Briggs on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 3, 2026

    Gareth, And thanks for the comment.

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