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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Summary Against Modern Thought: How Original Sin Is Transmitted
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: How Original Sin Is Transmitted

Previous post. We are all born broken. Objections to this notion come next week. THAT ORIGINAL SIN IS TRANSMITTED FROM THE FIRST PARENT TO HIS DESCENDANTS 1 It has been…
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Climate Hersteria On The Increase, Caused By Experts
Posted inCulture

Climate Hersteria On The Increase, Caused By Experts

It will come as quite a surprise to many that the New York Times has come out against women voting and democracy. I, too, did a double-take when I realized…
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How to Spot Fallacies – Podcast
Posted inPodcast

How to Spot Fallacies – Podcast

Last week I was interviewed by Pat Coffin on his show about Everything You Believe Is Wrong. Best part: very little mention of coronadoom. We are all sick sick sick…
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Bad News: Doctors Say Synodality Raging Out Of Control Among German Priests
Posted inCulture

Bad News: Doctors Say Synodality Raging Out Of Control Among German Priests

It's their own fault. There they were, accompanying Others (a fine ecumenical activity) on their Spiritual Journeys, when a large group of German priests wandered, surely by accident, onto the…
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The Official Regime Coronadoom Narrative Has Taken A Series Of Vicious Body Blows
Posted inStatistics

The Official Regime Coronadoom Narrative Has Taken A Series Of Vicious Body Blows

Been a busy week or two for the regime. They're having an increasingly difficult time holding back Reality from leaking into the coronadoom narrative. Not everywhere, of course. Austria is…
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Update: Joe Rogan Flap Proves That If There Is Dis- and Misinformation, There Must Be A Ministry Of Truth
Posted inCulture

Update: Joe Rogan Flap Proves That If There Is Dis- and Misinformation, There Must Be A Ministry Of Truth

Update Don't miss update below, which confirms everything in this post. Let's today emphasize the rather obvious point that if there is such a thing as official disinformation and misinformation,…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Difficulties Of The Incarnation Explained
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Difficulties Of The Incarnation Explained

Previous post. Our first mention of Socrates! SOLUTION OF THE ARGUMENTS AGAINST THE INCARNATION GIVEN ABOVE 1 With what has now been said the points made previously against faith in…
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Let’s Check The Progress On The Anti-White Jihad
Posted inStatistics

Let’s Check The Progress On The Anti-White Jihad

They had Biden announce that he is seeking a black woman to replace Breyer on the so-called Supreme Court. Indeed, one source said that they had already eleven candidates already…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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