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William M. Briggs

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Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Marbles!

Posted by By Briggs June 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
The Massively Stupid Idea Of Weekly Testing Of The Unvaxxed — Coronadoom Update CXIII
Posted inStatistics

The Massively Stupid Idea Of Weekly Testing Of The Unvaxxed — Coronadoom Update CXIII

Well, what more can we say that we haven't, and dozens of times? Although there is, here and there, some hope the panic is waning, female Safety Firsters, effeminates and…
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How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?
Posted inStatistics

How Did We Do On Our 2021 Predictions?

How'd we do? Put it this way: none of us would have won any awards. Here is the list so you can follow along (perhaps open in a new window).…
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Register Your Predictions for 2022!
Posted inCulture Fun

Register Your Predictions for 2022!

My Dear Friends, and, yes, Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at…
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Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Who Built Model To Say Vex Saved A Million Lives Announce Vex Saved A Million Lives

This is a slow day, with most off the internet, as is right and proper. So I will leave us with this repetition: All models, good or bad, inexpert or…
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Propagandists Boast Of Finagling Wikipedia: Here’s How To Have Wikipedia Revenge
Posted inCulture

Propagandists Boast Of Finagling Wikipedia: Here’s How To Have Wikipedia Revenge

It is good to take pride in your work. It is good, too, to show enthusiasm. And when a job has been completed in an exemplary fashion, it is sometimes…
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The Great Typo Hunt: My Enemies Insert Errors Into Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inFun

The Great Typo Hunt: My Enemies Insert Errors Into Everything You Believe Is Wrong

From Anon: I'm trying to read your book, "Everything You Believe is Wrong", but it's tough going. You need an editor! Case in point, in the section "Democracy is Discord"…
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We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII
Posted inCulture Statistics

We’d Never Be Where We Are Except For Technology — Coronadoom Update CXII

Increased technology is responsible for the coronadoom bug, panic, and "solutions" tyranny. If our level of technology was less, there would have been no bug, there would have been no…
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Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho
Posted inStatistics

Prozac & Its Relatives — Guest Post by Robert Yoho

Psychiatry is the drug industry's paradise, as definitions of psychiatric disorders are vague and easy to manipulate. Leading psychiatrists are... at high risk of corruption and, indeed, psychiatrists collect more…
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  1. Jess on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Somewhere, I have my brother's bag of marbles. I sometimes think I should go through them to see if there…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    In the summer of 1960, in Fresno, California, I lost my promotional "KYNO Top-Dog Radio" boulder in a game of…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Briggs! Have you lost your marbles? (somebody had to say it) When I was a little kid, I was nuts…

  4. NLR on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Interesting

  5. Franco on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 22, 2026

    Probably my all time favorite has to be some variation of "War afflicts women and children most"

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