William M. Briggs

The Eternal Truth of The Big Bluff — Guest Post by Gaudia Certaminis

Note: In this essay, some points will indicate plot development, but the head-spinning twist at the end will not be divulged. While browsing on Open Culture’s Free Film Noir page,…

Book review Culture

The Race Doesn’t Exist & Only Whites Are Racist Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…

Statistics

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

This is Update CX. https://twitter.com/Babygravy9/status/1470512309181296643 Conspiracy theorists: 27, Woke: 0. VAX SIDE EFFECTS I've been asked by a reader to give a simpler summary than the simple (but still complex)…

Culture

Michael Anton On Identifying Our Cultural Disease’s Symptoms & An Attempt At A Diagnosis

The obvious first stage in disease identification is noticing symptoms and their extent. This, for the United States, Michael Anton does with acumen and aplomb, in his New Criterion essay…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Why Jesus Became A Man

Previous post. A (blessedly?) short week. THAT THE ASSUMPTION OF HUMAN NATURE WAS MOST SUITED TO THE WORD OF GOD 1 From this it is also clear that the assumption…

Culture

Leadership and Depth Control — Guest Post by James M Andrews

The commanding officer in any military unit is the number one factor in crew morale and success of the mission. He is more important than anything else by an order…

Culture

Anon Wants To Give Up On RCIA: Too Many Women, Ignorant Priests, Seeks Advice

A plea from Anon: The wife and I starting going through (in-person) RCIA classes at a local Roman Catholic parish when they started in the fall. I’m struggling with some…

Book review Culture

The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Today, an excerpt of Chapter 9 from Everything You Believe Is Wrong. A refutation of the precautionary principle. See if you notice any similarities with what is happening our your…

McChuck on The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!May 13, 2026
There is a simpler, less math-intensive solution that gives the same answer. Knowing that it doesn't take two men to…
R W Pearson on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
This is easy, go in the door he came out. Worse case only one young scold to give you a…
Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…
Johnno on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 12, 2026
We should make it a law that whenever a criminal is sentened to death, that the only method to delay…
Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026
Definitely pick the door that the Boomer just left. There are three Boomers, so the probability that the one you…

William M. Briggs

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

The Eternal Truth of The Big Bluff — Guest Post by Gaudia Certaminis

The Race Doesn’t Exist & Only Whites Are Racist Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Keep Trying The Vax Strategy Until Dissenters Tire Of Showing It Isn’t Working

Michael Anton On Identifying Our Cultural Disease’s Symptoms & An Attempt At A Diagnosis

Summary Against Modern Thought: Why Jesus Became A Man

Leadership and Depth Control — Guest Post by James M Andrews

Anon Wants To Give Up On RCIA: Too Many Women, Ignorant Priests, Seeks Advice

The Somebody Might Get Hurt Fallacy — Excerpt from Everything You Believe Is Wrong

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification