William M. Briggs

If You Can’t Say It’s Bad, Then Those Who Say It’s Good Win

A choir in---where else?---San Francisco has released (but then pulled?) a song singing "we're coming for your children". Some lyrics (quoting from the source): We'll convert your children -- happens…

Philosophy

“Thomism” is Invalid: A Proof by Contradiction — Guest Post by John Kelleher

Briggs: My rebuttal is in the comments. For centuries, a welter of Christian, Jewish, and Islamic commentators, with nary a whimper from their "common sense," dutifully repeated Aristotle's statement in…

Statistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…

Statistics

Canadian Court Case Calamity; The Dreaded Delta Variant Is A Dud; Masks Don’t Work; Euro “Excess” Deaths; Vexxines; Ivormekton; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVIII

O! CANADA So a lawsuit was brought against the Canadian government in Ontario, on behalf of Adam Skelly and his company Adamson Barbecue, disputing the painful, harmful, and medically useless…

Air Force Eliminates Physical Fitness Standards, NASA Thinks Men Are Women

Culture

NLR on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 5, 2025
An idea for a what are the odds post: Jeanne Calment's longevity challenged, partially by statistical modelling.
FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 5, 2025
[…] Political Analysis, Punditry, and News:What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election? – William M. Briggs,…
Briggs on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Spetzer86, Sure. It won't change much. Better yet, we can investigate the cause of each death, which tells us ALL…
spetzer86 on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Wouldn't the span of time the deaths happened in figure into the final probability? The value used is for a…
John Pate on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Number seven just took the big sleep.

William M. Briggs

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz

World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!

Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat

New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest Bounty

Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The World

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

If You Can’t Say It’s Bad, Then Those Who Say It’s Good Win

“Thomism” is Invalid: A Proof by Contradiction — Guest Post by John Kelleher

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Canadian Court Case Calamity; The Dreaded Delta Variant Is A Dud; Masks Don’t Work; Euro “Excess” Deaths; Vexxines; Ivormekton; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVIII

Air Force Eliminates Physical Fitness Standards, NASA Thinks Men Are Women

Happy Fourth of July

We Will Never Really Know What 95 F Feels Like

Hating That Which Is Evil & Fined For It

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification