William M. Briggs

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…

Statistics

Canadian Court Case Calamity; The Dreaded Delta Variant Is A Dud; Masks Don’t Work; Euro “Excess” Deaths; Vexxines; Ivormekton; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVIII

O! CANADA So a lawsuit was brought against the Canadian government in Ontario, on behalf of Adam Skelly and his company Adamson Barbecue, disputing the painful, harmful, and medically useless…

Culture

Air Force Eliminates Physical Fitness Standards, NASA Thinks Men Are Women

To help celebrate your Dependence Day, this exciting news from our boys---and girls!---and its!---in blue: "The new Air Force fitness test will feature walking instead of running and modified push-ups".…

Fun

Happy Fourth of July

Fun

We Will Never Really Know What 95 F Feels Like

Headline: "Newark, New Jersey, set a record at 102 degrees with a feels like temperature of 109 degrees." Thus are Newarkians (Newarkers?) denied the opportunity of knowing what a temperature…

Culture

Hating That Which Is Evil & Fined For It

There are various translations of Paul's letter to the Romans, but while the words differ, the substance remains the same: Let love be genuine; hate what is evil, hold fast…

Statistics

America Is A Conquered Country Which Flies A Foreign Flag

It's a practice as ancient as warfare itself. The victor tears down the enemy's totem and replaces it with his own. How many battles have we read about in which…

Statistics

Fauci Flashback; Vexxine Harms; Conspiracies; Rally Report; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVII

GAFFE OR PLANNED? https://twitter.com/GraduatedBen/status/1409312700291747847 Old, but not forgotten. VEXXINE HARM WSJ: Are Covid Vaccines Riskier Than Advertised? One remarkable aspect of the Covid-19 pandemic has been how often unpopular scientific…

Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
I think that pessimism morphs into cynicism when we perceive personal gain in our bleak expectations.
Nate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
The best explanation I saw on twitter was this rephrasing: "There is a blender. Jumping into the blender will kill…
Nate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
I rephrased the question to remove "red" and "blue" priming words and asked the wife: "Space aliens create two buttons,…
Cary D Cotterman on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
If the colors of the buttons reflect the same ideological sides they do in current discourse, then disappearing the blue…
Brian (bulaoren) on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026
As you suggested, I have, so far, read nothing beyond the question. What is not clear to me is...Do the…

William M. Briggs

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Canadian Court Case Calamity; The Dreaded Delta Variant Is A Dud; Masks Don’t Work; Euro “Excess” Deaths; Vexxines; Ivormekton; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVIII

Air Force Eliminates Physical Fitness Standards, NASA Thinks Men Are Women

Happy Fourth of July

We Will Never Really Know What 95 F Feels Like

Hating That Which Is Evil & Fined For It

America Is A Conquered Country Which Flies A Foreign Flag

Fauci Flashback; Vexxine Harms; Conspiracies; Rally Report; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXVII

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification