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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
Fathers, Covid & The Woke Tyranny — Guest Post by Jim Fedako
Posted inStatistics

Fathers, Covid & The Woke Tyranny — Guest Post by Jim Fedako

Wokeness didn’t rise out of a miasmic ether in 2020. No, the vile, virulent ideology was birthed in Marxism 150 years ago, slowly morphing and marching for decades through social…
Read More
Military Launches Attack On Molecules! Look Out Climate Change, They’re Coming After You
Posted inCulture

Military Launches Attack On Molecules! Look Out Climate Change, They’re Coming After You

Fresh off of smiting---their word---Tucker Carlson after he teased them about creating combat maternity flight suits, and taking a break from searching under barracks for furtive "white supremacists", the Pentagon…
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Harvard Tries To Blame The Coronadoom On Climate Change
Posted inStatistics

Harvard Tries To Blame The Coronadoom On Climate Change

From Z man I got the link to a debased Harvard site which claims the coronadoom was caused by---no, not white supremacy, not directly---by climate change. The site is, if…
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Vatican Nixes Gay Unions: The Usual Meltdown Ensues
Posted inCulture

Vatican Nixes Gay Unions: The Usual Meltdown Ensues

In a surprise move, the Vatican, with Francis's approval, answered "negative" to the question "Does the Church have the power to give the blessing to unions of persons of the…
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Has The Surrender To Reality Begun? — Coronavirus Update LVII
Posted inStatistics

Has The Surrender To Reality Begun? — Coronavirus Update LVII

ALAS, NO DOOM Remember the wild wails of coming doom predicted with Texas returned to liberty? Didn't happen. Left column: fear-based states. Right column: liberty-based states. Seems the coronadoom doesn't…
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Not Speaking Out Against “Racism” Will Now Get You Canned
Posted inCulture

Not Speaking Out Against “Racism” Will Now Get You Canned

Georgetown Adjunct Law Professor---stop me if you've heard this one before---Sandra Sellers, was on a "Zoom" call with another prof, one David Batson, when she said her black students were…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Arius’s Opinion On The Divinity Of Christ
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Arius’s Opinion On The Divinity Of Christ

Previous post. It would be well, if you recall, how this particular story ended. The errors spoken of here won't be refuted until next week. THE OPINION OF ARIUS ABOUT…
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Support Ricky Vaughn & Other Based Political Dissidents
Posted inFun

Support Ricky Vaughn & Other Based Political Dissidents

Ricky Vaughn, you will recall, was arrested for the non-crime of posting a funny meme. It ridiculed dumb voters and teased our rulers. Incidentally, anybody who takes memes seriously probably…
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  1. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  2. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  3. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  4. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

  5. Cato on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    There’s no point to a world without me; of course I press Red.

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