William M. Briggs

South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

Follow Greenhorn on Twitter---until he's purged. My wife and I entered the Black Hills from the south. It was a perfect time to be there, because all the snow and…

Statistics

Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More

Right after yesterday's post on (again) why rationalism and reason fail as philosophies, and on their severe limitations, I read an article profiling Gerd Gigerenzer and his "simple rules". It…

Philosophy

Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails

Fun quiz time! This is some data: x = c(0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1). Something caused that data to be. I know what it is,…

Statistics

Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV

VACCINE EFFICACY Long-time reader Steve Fettig asked me to look into the Reason [sic] article (by Bailey) "Vaccines Are 100% Effective at Preventing COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths", which is based…

Statistics

Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump & (You Guessed It) White Supremacy

The debased political magazine The Lancet has released a massive report blaming poor health on Trump and white supremacy. Occult white supremacists have taken the role of unseen counter-revolutionaries in…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Protius

Previous post. Not knowing where else to put this, and this the Lord's day, a prayer request from a long-time reader. I know this might sound weird since I'm just…

Culture

QWERTY Propaganda Works: Almost 18% of Gen Z Have Fallen Into Sexual Fantasy

Gallup has its 2020 poll on what sexual fantasies people most identify "as"---our desires now make us what we believe. The lesson to be learned from this is that QWERTY…

Culture

Equality Will Lead Us To Our Doom

The Snake said, "God knows well that when you eat of it your eyes will be opened and you will be like gods." Eve desired Equality. She got it. It's…

NLR on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 7, 2026
It appears that Dawkins does not have a well thought out philosophy of consciousness and so he has psyched himself…
Johnno on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
Hence we descriptively say in plural... a "calamity of victims." Or a "catastrophe of Expurts." Or an "academy of failures."…
Brian (bulaoren) on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
So, three circumlocutors walk into a bar...
Cary D Cotterman on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
When an academic paper has "intersectional," "decolonial," "disabilities," "intersect," "social," "structural," "injustices," and "diverse" in one sentence, you know you've…
Bill Hankel on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerMay 6, 2026
I decided to accept your challenge, knowing with near certainty that your intuition was correct. I invested 15-20 seconds total…

William M. Briggs

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

South Dakota Tour In The Time Of Coronadoom — Guest Post by Richard Greenhorn

Why Simple Models Are Better Than Complex In Finance, Climate, Coronadoom & More

Cognitive Bayes & Rationality: Why Theoretical Explanations Charging People With Conspiracy Theories Fails

Vaccine Efficacy, Vaccine Tyranny & Lockdown Lawlessness: Coronavirus Update LV

Debased Political Rag The Lancet Blames Poor Health On Trump & (You Guessed It) White Supremacy

Summary Against Modern Thought: Refuting Protius

QWERTY Propaganda Works: Almost 18% of Gen Z Have Fallen Into Sexual Fantasy

Equality Will Lead Us To Our Doom

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification