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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
February 23, 2026
Class 79: Time Series Example
February 19, 2026
The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
February 18, 2026
Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
February 17, 2026
AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
February 16, 2026
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
February 12, 2026
Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
February 11, 2026
Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
February 10, 2026
Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
February 9, 2026
Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
February 4, 2026
Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
February 3, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

Posted by By Briggs March 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

On Not Reading

Posted by By Briggs March 11, 2026
Continue Reading
That Open Letter On BLM From The Berkeley History Professor
Posted inCulture

That Open Letter On BLM From The Berkeley History Professor

The anonymous letter, which can be regarded as in the public domain (it's been fully tweeted, line by line, for instance), is from a purported History Professor "of color" (she…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments For Poverty
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments For Poverty

Previous post. We're still on poverty, for and against. ANSWERS TO THE ARGUMENTS BROUGHT FORWARD ABOVE AGAINST POVERTY 1 Now that these things have been seen, it is not difficult…
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The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition

Hard to summarize the week in doom. There is no consistency or coherence to anything. We have experts and the media telling us to go out and protest and not…
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Posted inCulture

Death Of A Thousand Cuts — Guest Post by GG

There are 1000 different things going on, and which threads are relevant? Which aren't? Who are the players? Let's start with the far left, the so-called progressive wing. These are…
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The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War
Posted inCulture

The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War

Insurrectionists in Seattle have created an "autonomous zone". Many laugh about this. They shouldn't. The sniveling fools in official charge of that city---those that are not actively complicit in the…
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The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM
Posted inCulture

The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM

The cult is growing and strength and number. Most of our leaders cannot stand against it, being either cowards, true converts, or in on the would-be color revolution. It is…
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Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs

Here's an interview I did with Gene Tunny, who runs the Economics Explained podcast. Check out his book, too: BEAUTIFUL ONE DAY, BROKE THE NEXT: Queensland’s Public Finances since Sir…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on On Not ReadingMarch 14, 2026

    Idonotreadcomments: you are making the wrong observation from bookstores. Certainly that sort of smut is plentiful in bookstores, and this…

  2. Nym Coy on On Not ReadingMarch 13, 2026

    Might I interest you in a book? It is called Mumbai Singularity, and it is a mythic cyberpunk detective thriller…

  3. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

  4. Idonotreadcomments on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    First of all, you only need to visit a big chain bookstore to know that the fiction market is driven…

  5. C-Marie on On Not ReadingMarch 12, 2026

    Well, I do knpw that Malchi Martin and David McCullough were great authors.... The Final Conclave and John Adams, respectively.…

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