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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Posted by By Briggs April 30, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

Posted by By Briggs April 29, 2026
Continue Reading
That Open Letter On BLM From The Berkeley History Professor
Posted inCulture

That Open Letter On BLM From The Berkeley History Professor

The anonymous letter, which can be regarded as in the public domain (it's been fully tweeted, line by line, for instance), is from a purported History Professor "of color" (she…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments For Poverty
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Arguments For Poverty

Previous post. We're still on poverty, for and against. ANSWERS TO THE ARGUMENTS BROUGHT FORWARD ABOVE AGAINST POVERTY 1 Now that these things have been seen, it is not difficult…
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The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — CHAZ Edition

Hard to summarize the week in doom. There is no consistency or coherence to anything. We have experts and the media telling us to go out and protest and not…
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Posted inCulture

Death Of A Thousand Cuts — Guest Post by GG

There are 1000 different things going on, and which threads are relevant? Which aren't? Who are the players? Let's start with the far left, the so-called progressive wing. These are…
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The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War
Posted inCulture

The Insurrection, The Cult & Our Spiritual War

Insurrectionists in Seattle have created an "autonomous zone". Many laugh about this. They shouldn't. The sniveling fools in official charge of that city---those that are not actively complicit in the…
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The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM
Posted inCulture

The Cult Of Diversity & The Corruption Of Science: #ShutDownSTEM

The cult is growing and strength and number. Most of our leaders cannot stand against it, being either cowards, true converts, or in on the would-be color revolution. It is…
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Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XVII: End The Farce Now

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs
Posted inPodcast Statistics

Uncertainty And The Perils Of Prediction With William M Briggs

Here's an interview I did with Gene Tunny, who runs the Economics Explained podcast. Check out his book, too: BEAUTIFUL ONE DAY, BROKE THE NEXT: Queensland’s Public Finances since Sir…
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  1. tfc on Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: SkillMay 1, 2026

    Wow. Americans say the Soviet Union was a huge success.

  2. John Pate on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 30, 2026

    I would press the red button because it's the red button. The bigger the red button the harder you hit…

  3. Polybius II on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    "their Other Lives’ Value premise is something vague about man, but not men" I am reminded of a british comedian…

  4. Johnno on The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising AnswerApril 29, 2026

    But do we get time to explain to everyone and have them all sit down and have a discussion before…

  5. gareth on Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: ExamplesApril 29, 2026

    Timestamp 21:35: A "correction" from 0.8 to 1.0 is a "correction factor" of 1.25, not 0.2 (akshully wot you mean…

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