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Latest Articles
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Posted by By Briggs May 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

Posted by By Briggs May 11, 2026
Continue Reading
The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

The Fifth Column & Coming War On Us — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I would like to preface this post with the following thought. Never depart for Moscow after the Ides of March. Unless you like Russian winters, of course. Bear with me…
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Coronavirus Radio Replay: And Notes On Welcoming Tyranny
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Radio Replay: And Notes On Welcoming Tyranny

I originally had this scheduled for Monday, but shifted to Wednesday because of the z-score mania. So I'm sure there can be many more things to add to this. Last…
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Coronavirus Update XII — Who Has The Right Numbers?
Posted inStatistics

Coronavirus Update XII — Who Has The Right Numbers?

All the good stuff, caveats, code, data sources and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, Update VI, Update…
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Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics
Posted inStatistics

Z-Scores Are Misleading & Create Panic: Or, How Not To Compare Pandemics

A number of people panicked to the point their minds have turned to quivering jelly, angry at my calmness, have been emailing and tweeting me the equivalent of "Oh yeah,…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Love Your Neighbor (The People Near You)
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Love Your Neighbor (The People Near You)

Previous post. Puritanism is not a viable option. HOW MAN IS ORDERED BY THE LAW OF GOD IN REGARD TO HIS NEIGHBOR 1 From the things that we have said…
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An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column
Posted inStatistics

An Egregious Statistical Horror Story — Reprint Of George Gilder Column

Used with permission from the original American Institute for Economic Research article. Regular readers: No Doom tomorrow. With the latest reports of plummeting death rates from all causes, this crisis…
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Comparing England & USA Covid & Historical Kill Rates (Sorry, England)
Posted inStatistics

Comparing England & USA Covid & Historical Kill Rates (Sorry, England)

Kissing Cousins Thanks to our new friend at In Proportion, a must-view site, we have daily deaths in England & Wales going back to 1993, and not just from 2013.…
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Is England’s Lockdown Racking Up The Bodies?
Posted inStatistics

Is England’s Lockdown Racking Up The Bodies?

Here (from the official source; h/t Meme Pusher) are the all-cause weekly deaths for England and Wales, 2010 until 17 April 2020. The blips peaking around January are (the assumption…
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  1. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I asked an AI, and it had the same answer as me but with silly Bayes equations. Then out of…

  2. Johnno on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 12, 2026

    We should make it a law that whenever a criminal is sentened to death, that the only method to delay…

  3. Mocheirge on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    Definitely pick the door that the Boomer just left. There are three Boomers, so the probability that the one you…

  4. Cary D Cotterman on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    I don't know or have the patience for the math, or whatever it takes, to do this right. I figure…

  5. Brian (bulaoren) on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    @Steve Do black lesbian females have a penchant for nubile white women? If so, who doesn't? Should nubile white women…

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