William M. Briggs

The Week In Doom — State-Mandated Sodomy Edition

Item Canadian doctors tell father they will inject his 14-year-old daughter with male hormones for transition without his permission It would be wrong, and probably illegal, to say that the…

<em>The Magician and the Cardsharp</em> — by Karl Johnson

Book review

The Magician and the Cardsharp — by Karl Johnson

This post, which could use some better writing, originally ran on 5 June 2009. But it's a lot of fun. The Magician and the Cardsharp: The Search for America's Greatest…

Philosophy Statistics

Yep, Probability Is Not As Simple As You Think

Couple of folks (Mike W, Dan Hughes) asked me to comment on the article "The concept of probability is not as simple as you think" by Nevin Climenhaga. Three popular…

Culture

Orthodoxy’s War: Part I — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Prologue I've always thought that the concept of nuclear power was spooky. The whole idea of messing with the essential stability of the material world was eerie. The idea that…

Statistics

Another AI Exaggeration: It Can Say Why There Is Religious Conflict

Dear reader, though you won't believe it, there is such a thing as the Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation. When you search its name, Google shows you this:…

Philosophy

Hell & Heaven Are Real — Act Accordingly

I went to my first ever Russian Byzantine Catholic mass on Sunday, and very much enjoyed among other things the priest's homily, which---miracle!---did not shy away from the key message…

Philosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Is Everywhere

Previous post. There is no escape. This chapter is a primer on the claim. Next week a difficult chapter on the science of it all. But do not miss the…

Culture

This Week In Doom — No More Female Mothers Edition

Item Guess what they want us to give up next. Item USMC PFT Score Charts (Saw this from PD Mangan.) The following are the detailed score charts for both male…

John Pate on Contest Winner Announced!April 17, 2026
The Austrian Painter is too milquetoast for me. I'm holding out for Vlad the Impaler.
John Pate on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 17, 2026
What is this rambling word salad. Grok could do better. Anyway, ZionDon is just doing his bit for the Great…
Norbert on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 17, 2026
Certain statements in the blogpost are perhaps careless and may lead to non-Catholic thinking. For reference, the following is the…
Alain Petit on Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine, ReviewedApril 16, 2026
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CNbmoVdirxw&pp=0gcJCdMKAYcqIYzv
Klara Castagna on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 16, 2026
Ianto, I luv ya man, I bought and read your book ‘The Barbarian Bible’ - everyone should buy it and…

William M. Briggs

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI