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The Probability Of Being Accused Of The Hate Crime Of Disparate Impact Approaches 1
Posted inStatistics

The Probability Of Being Accused Of The Hate Crime Of Disparate Impact Approaches 1

You're an employer who has to hire 100 employees to get your Meme Factory running. You'll hire the first 100 who come in the door. Given this information (and what…
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How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability

Stick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I'm going to reveal a trick used to make you "Follow the Science!" Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision…
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Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off
Posted inStatistics

Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off

There are two essential, crucial things to take from the article "The Gambler Who Beat Roulette", and I beg that you will remember both: 1. You are meant to lose…
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The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2
Posted inStatistics

The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2

My dad and I built a coin flipping machine. Then made this video (you might have to click the link): LINK FIXED. Link, because the embedding is not working. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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Probability is Logic
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…
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On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems
Posted inPhilosophy

On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems

I was reading through some of James Franklin's papers on logical probability in an effort to not embarrass myself when I make my speech at the Broken Science Initiative event…
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Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?
Posted inFun Statistics

Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1594144435000213505 Before we get to it, and if…
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  1. Briggs on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 17, 2025

    Scott, One of my hobbies is mentalism, mental magic---I even performed a trick on a Vegas stage! I have lots…

  2. James on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 16, 2025

    The Aquatic Ape Hypothesis might be worthy of exploring for bad science: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aquatic_ape_hypothesis

  3. Scott Locklin on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 16, 2025

    There was a book on the correspondence between Jung and Wolfgang Pauli (who was a genius, but also an alcoholic…

  4. Ralph Mertesdorf on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    I found another headline at that "Study Finds" site" "Many Texas Communities Are Dangerously Unprepared For Floods, And Lack Of…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    "39. She always wants to be the one who makes the decisions. She likes to be the leader." This is…

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