Search Results for “probability” – Page 4

The Probability Of Being Accused Of The Hate Crime Of Disparate Impact Approaches 1

You're an employer who has to hire 100 employees to get your Meme Factory running. You'll hire the first 100 who come in the door. Given this information (and what…

Philosophy Statistics

How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability

Stick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I'm going to reveal a trick used to make you "Follow the Science!" Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision…

Statistics

Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off

There are two essential, crucial things to take from the article "The Gambler Who Beat Roulette", and I beg that you will remember both: 1. You are meant to lose…

Statistics

The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2

My dad and I built a coin flipping machine. Then made this video (you might have to click the link): LINK FIXED. Link, because the embedding is not working. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8…

Philosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…

Philosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…

Philosophy

On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems

I was reading through some of James Franklin's papers on logical probability in an effort to not embarrass myself when I make my speech at the Broken Science Initiative event…

Fun Statistics

Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1594144435000213505 Before we get to it, and if…

Hagfish Bagpipe on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025
The earth is a spinning ball orbiting the sun in a limitless vacuum. Maybe. But maybe not. After seeing how…
hudbwu on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 15, 2025
> you have posited that nothing has become a cause, and it is impossible the absence of anything can become…
Phil R on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025
My earlier post was longish and probably wasn't that clear. I think two of the problems are a lack of…
Polybius on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025
Now that I have thought more about this I think one of our biggest problems in all fields from climate…
C. P. Benischek on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025
Evolution. As Stephen Jay Gould once sort of said, the lack of a single example in the fossil record of…