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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Posted by By Briggs April 16, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Posted by By Briggs April 15, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inFun Statistics

Hear Briggs Speak Free on Why You’re Doing Statistics Wrong

Hear Briggs Speak Free! Where by "Free" I mean you pay my expenses. Here are the details. Hear the One And Only William M. Briggs The Statisticians to the Stars!…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

The National Embarrassment Which Is Bill Nye

Let's admit first that, whatever faults the man has, Bill "The Science Guy" Nye has taught us at least one valuable lesson in biology. Never cinch your bow tie so…
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Posted inCulture

Who’s Supporting The UN’s So-Called Sustainable Development Plan? The #BigPush

The UN general assembly is meeting and the biggest of wigs have stepped to the microphone to say how very wonderful it is to get along. I jest, but in…
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Posted inCulture

Open Thread: Effect Of Pope’s Visit?

Now the real excuse for this post is that yesterday, it being a sort of holiday, I made rather merry and neglected to cause a post to be written. Since…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: God Wills His Being But Not Necessarily You

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. A milestone…
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Posted inCulture

Stream: UN’s Vision for Lifting Up the World’s Poor Differs Sharply from the Pope’s

Today's post is at the Stream: "UN's Vision for Lifting Up the World's Poor Differs Sharply from the Pope's". And dangerously. Pope Francis, in his speech to the UN, expressed…
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Posted inCulture

The Pope’s Bargain. Accept It—If You Dare

Pope Francis told Congress we need to care for the environment. And in people's minds, and in his encyclical Laudato Si', this means at least acknowledging the threat of man-caused…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Scientists Pretend They Can Answer Why Some Are More Religious

One thing that nearly always accompanies scientism is historical cluelessness. When somebody adopts the Way Of Science, they fall spell to the idea that only that which is most recent…
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  1. John Pate on Contest Winner Announced!April 17, 2026

    The Austrian Painter is too milquetoast for me. I'm holding out for Vlad the Impaler.

  2. John Pate on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 17, 2026

    What is this rambling word salad. Grok could do better. Anyway, ZionDon is just doing his bit for the Great…

  3. Norbert on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 17, 2026

    Certain statements in the blogpost are perhaps careless and may lead to non-Catholic thinking. For reference, the following is the…

  4. Alain Petit on Antichrist, by Saint Robert Bellarmine, ReviewedApril 16, 2026

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CNbmoVdirxw&pp=0gcJCdMKAYcqIYzv

  5. Klara Castagna on Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto WattApril 16, 2026

    Ianto, I luv ya man, I bought and read your book ‘The Barbarian Bible’ - everyone should buy it and…

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