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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
March 26, 2026
It’s The End Of The World Again
March 24, 2026
Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
March 23, 2026
Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
March 19, 2026
The Great Effeminization of the Academy
March 18, 2026
The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
March 17, 2026
Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
March 16, 2026
Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
March 12, 2026
On Not Reading
March 11, 2026
The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
March 10, 2026
A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
March 9, 2026
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
March 5, 2026
The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
March 4, 2026
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
March 3, 2026
Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails
March 2, 2026
Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
February 26, 2026
Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
February 24, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Posted by By Briggs April 6, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Posted by By Briggs April 2, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: That God Is Good

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. This post is one…
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Posted inFun

Manly Things, Northern Michigan Edition

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. My number one son sent me the video above (linked here). Can you imagine…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Pascal’s Pensées, A Tour: IV

Since our walk through Summa Contra Gentiles is going so well, why not let's do the same with Pascal's sketchbook on what we can now call Thinking Thursdays. We'll use…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Improper Language About Priors

Suppose you decided (almost surely by some ad hoc rule) that the uncertainty in some thing (call it y) is best quantified by a normal distribution with central parameter θ…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

I Also Declare The Bayesian vs. Frequentist Debate Over For Data Scientists

I stole the title, adding the word "also", from an article by Rafael Irizarry at Simply Stats (tweeted by Diego Kuonen). First, brush clearing. Data scientists. Sounds like galloping bureaucratic…
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Posted inCulture

NYC Protesters: ‘What Do We Want? Dead Cops!’ What They’ll Get Is Something Else

https://twitter.com/NYCityAlerts/status/543987028166455296 "Comedy" (or perhaps "farce") is a good word to describe the human predicament given events like Sony (the hacked company which revealed emails with lame jokes) studio head and…
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Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Nothing Is Predicated Univocally Of God & Other Things

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Perhaps a…
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Posted inCulture Fun

The Reimaginings Of Exodus And Noah Inspires Moviemakers—And You!

https://twitter.com/mattstat/status/543559693592182785 John Nolte doesn't like Ridley Scott's Exodus: Gods and Kings. ...Scott makes a fool of himself. DeMille used the ancient biblical tale to tell a universal story about human…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    On Easter Sunday no less. I recall when Joe Dementia declared Easter to be National Tranny Day. I thought he…

  2. Johnno on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Hey Cary D... what about those countries run by religious lunatics who have made it very clear they want the…

  3. JDinPA on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Cary D Cotterman: You’ve made a case, at most, for one or more of the nations of Western Europe going…

  4. shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    unfortunately I think that is the reality....

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    There are only eight countries, apart from the U.S., that have nuclear weapons. Iran has (or had) missiles that could…

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