William M. Briggs

Canadian Health Minister Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Canada's Health Minister invented a new euphemism to describe doctors purposely killing their patients. That euphemism is relief. Brilliant! Yes, it's a riff on, or rip off, of Soylent Green.…

Statistics

Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability

I hope you'll forgive this minor repetition, my friends. But since the world has not yet converted to the truth, shouted by de Finetti and handful of others, that probability…

Statistics

Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper

You and I, dear reader, have looked at a lot of bad science over the years. Some science was bad because of the stank of woke, some because of fractured…

Culture

The Border Happening & The Weakness Of The Regime

Simple math: 5,000 x 365 = 1,825,000. Check me. Is it right? That 5,000 is the number of "migrants" the Regime Senate would allow in each day---each and every day…

Statistics

The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards

Yesterday we learned how poor climate models were because of their over-emphasis on man's influence. Today we have a guest post on one alternate cause. See what you think. The…

Culture Statistics

Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!

I am, and you will be, too, absolutely delighted by a new paper by Roy Spencer: "Global Warming: Observations vs. Climate Models". This is a paper that will be celebrated…

Statistics

Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought

A lot of kids have alphabet blocks. Twenty six wooden squares with the letters of the alphabet on them. One way to arrange them is just like in the song,…

Philosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…

NLR on Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In ParametersSeptember 5, 2025
An idea for a what are the odds post: Jeanne Calment's longevity challenged, partially by statistical modelling.
FRIDAY EARLY-MORNING EDITION - BIG PULPIT on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 5, 2025
[…] Political Analysis, Punditry, and News:What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election? – William M. Briggs,…
Briggs on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Spetzer86, Sure. It won't change much. Better yet, we can investigate the cause of each death, which tells us ALL…
spetzer86 on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Wouldn't the span of time the deaths happened in figure into the final probability? The value used is for a…
John Pate on What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?September 3, 2025
Number seven just took the big sleep.

William M. Briggs

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

Funniest Thing To Happen In Science In Years

Pray For The Downfall, Ruin, Confusion & Conversion Of The Doctors & Experts Causing Transanity

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz

World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!

Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In Science

Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating Meat

Lying Increases Trust In Science, Says Academic

Class 60: Does This Guy Have ESP? 1

Lady Pilots Better Than Men, Says The Science

Academics Say It’s Morally Obligatory To Bioengineer Ticks To Stop You Eating Meat

New Definition Of Death To Increase Organ Harvest Bounty

Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The World

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

What Are The Chances 6 AfD Candidates Die Before An Election?

Canadian Health Minister Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings

Probability Doesn’t Exist: Nothing Has A Probability

Dickman Cries “Rape!”: On The Bizarre New Rape-Pregnancy Paper

The Border Happening & The Weakness Of The Regime

The Role of Dusty-Ice-Sheet Albedo in Ice-Age Temperature Regulation — Guest Post by Jackie Edwards

Great News! The Climate Is Much Better Than Predicted. Now We Can Calm Down!

Combinatorial Explosion: Theory Is Worse Than You Thought

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification