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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic

Posted by By Briggs June 17, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Correlation And Coincidence

A hastily written entry today, folks. Busy day. Typos at no extra charge. Reader Al Perrella invites us to Jerry Pournelle's Chaos Manner, where a note from our friend Mike…
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Posted inStatistics

Bayesian Statistics Ruled Illegal?

Andrew Montford, who runs Bishop Hill blog, had a post titled "IPCC statistics ruled illegal" in which he said, "Bayesian statistics, the approach favoured by the IPCC in its assessments…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy

Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions

Update This is back in the news. This (lightly edited) post originally appeared 28 February 2012. Academic philosophers Alberto Giubilini and Francesca Minerva---shockingly working in Australia1, a land where commonsense…
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Posted inStatistics

EPA’s Climate Change Adaptation Plan

The EPA has asked for my advice.1 They will not listen to, or harken, or act on this advice, but asking for it gives them a sense that they have…
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Posted inCulture

7-Year-Old Suspended For Carrying Unlicensed Pop Tart: Update

Did you feel it? The latest lurch towards insanity happened in Baltimore, where seven-year-old Josh Welch was suspended from school for eating a Pop Tart. Turns out he bit off…
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Posted inCulture Fun

What Day Most Changed History?

Such was the title of The Atlantic's "The Big Question" column of March, 2013. This is the sort of piece one finds uppermost in the toilet's magazine rack. So now…
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Posted inFun Statistics

On Dowsing—Guest Post by Ray Kidd

I dug a one-meter square test pit outside an 18th century ruined cottage. A "dowser" invited to test his powers stood beside the pit dangling a bob on a string.…
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Posted inStatistics

Science Can Tell If You’re A Racist Just By Looking At You

George Carlin used to advise those who wanted to avoid jury duty to tell the judge, "Don't worry about me, your honor. I can tell guilty people---<snap!>---just like that!" We…
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  1. Johnno on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 21, 2026

    That's a lot of words just to say Math is intrinsically patriarchal because statistics show boys are better than girls…

  2. Johnno on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 21, 2026

    They could host the matches in indoor arenas... but that would mean turning on the air conditioning, which means electricity,…

  3. hudbwu on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 20, 2026

    We they're certainly re-inventing. Promises kept, I guess. Also, I can't escape thinking this is what the mice and rats…

  4. hudbwu on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 20, 2026

    ObvIOusLy, the correct formula for the triangles at the start is (upper_left + upper_right) * upper_left , which gives us…

  5. Andras Kuthi on Truly Random Numbers Found?June 19, 2026

    Contemplate that Epstein won the New Mexico lottery...so much for randomly generated numbers.

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