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William M. Briggs

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Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Marbles!

Posted by By Briggs June 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition

The return of the Week in Doom seemed to go well enough last week, so I'll inflict it on you for another installment. Do Not Get Sick Item: "Minority Contracting…
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MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It
Posted inStatistics

MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It

The news, considered marvelous to some because it seems to confirm how good MRIs are at uncovering secrets of the brain, is that MRIs can predict "sexual orientation" with 92%…
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Science Proves Isaac Newton Doesn’t Even Break Into Top 8,000 All Time Greatest Scientists
Posted inStatistics

Science Proves Isaac Newton Doesn’t Even Break Into Top 8,000 All Time Greatest Scientists

Issac Newton was the greatest scientist. The calculus, mechanics, gravity, thermodynamics, astronomy, optics, the binomial theorem, even theology! You name it, Newton was there, looming over all of us. "No…
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Look! Up In The Sky! It’s BIRD FLU!
Posted inStatistics

Look! Up In The Sky! It’s BIRD FLU!

One of my favorite comedic lunatic gibbering fear drippers during the covid panic, and maybe one of yours, too, was Eric Fing-Ding. He used any excuse to say THIS MAY…
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Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser
Posted inClass

Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser

See the end of this post for how the class might work and details about the video. Video Yes, the lighting is terrible. I give sallow a bad name. Links:…
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Triumphant Return of The Week In Doom! Birth Prevention Edition
Posted inCulture

Triumphant Return of The Week In Doom! Birth Prevention Edition

Due to incessant, almost overwhelming, demand (one guy asked once), I announce the triumphant return of The Week In Doom -- a breezy compilation of the Week's accelerating woke and…
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Artificial Intelligence and Irrational Fears  — Guest Post by Jim Fedako
Posted inStatistics

Artificial Intelligence and Irrational Fears — Guest Post by Jim Fedako

Where's Jerry Garcia of the Grateful Dead? Seriously, what list of the greatest rock guitarists of all time would not – could not – include him? Sure, I know the…
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Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics
Posted inStatistics

Did Republicans Report More Vax Adverse Events? How Not To Do Statistics

A perpetual staple of statistical shenanigans are "studies" comparing one heterogeneous population with other, or with many other heterogeneous populations, where the researcher picks out one item among the myriad…
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  1. John Pate on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

  2. Jess on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Somewhere, I have my brother's bag of marbles. I sometimes think I should go through them to see if there…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    In the summer of 1960, in Fresno, California, I lost my promotional "KYNO Top-Dog Radio" boulder in a game of…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Briggs! Have you lost your marbles? (somebody had to say it) When I was a little kid, I was nuts…

  5. NLR on Marbles!June 23, 2026

    Interesting

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