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$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?
July 23, 2026
Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp
July 22, 2026
Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say Academics
July 20, 2026
Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics
July 15, 2026
University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing
July 13, 2026
The Equality Paradox
July 9, 2026
My Horrible Interaction With AI
July 8, 2026
SOON
July 7, 2026
The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
July 6, 2026
Happy Birthday to US
July 2, 2026
Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
July 1, 2026
Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
June 29, 2026
The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
June 25, 2026
Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Posted by By Briggs July 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp

Posted by By Briggs July 22, 2026
Continue Reading
The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom: The Distraction Of Truth Edition

It's True If You Believe It Item: NPR’s CEO Katherine Maher on the truth. https://twitter.com/CatchUpFeed/status/1780492395790086460 You could have made book that this was from a TED talk. It is true,…
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William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Thanks to EMM for the donation! I was interviewed by Duncan Thorin Shields (he goes by Thorin) last week. He asked the best questions I think I've ever been asked.…
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Winning Is Losing: Yarvin vs Rufo. Added: Was NatCon A Victory?
Posted inCulture

Winning Is Losing: Yarvin vs Rufo. Added: Was NatCon A Victory?

Note: See below about rulers harassing the Nat Con event in Brussels. Added after I wrote the post. IM-1776 ran a debate between Curtis "Moldbug" Yarvin and Chris Rufo. It…
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Why I Don’t Want To Be Made To Support Israel
Posted inCulture

Why I Don’t Want To Be Made To Support Israel

I realize, my dear readers, that many have picked a side in this fight, which really isn't theirs, but which they have made theirs to the extent it often seems…
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Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…
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The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Week In Doom: Follow The Science Edition

The return of the Week in Doom seemed to go well enough last week, so I'll inflict it on you for another installment. Do Not Get Sick Item: "Minority Contracting…
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MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It
Posted inStatistics

MRI Claims 92% Accuracy Predicting Sexual “Orientation”. My Schmengee Mediscan 3000™ Beats It

The news, considered marvelous to some because it seems to confirm how good MRIs are at uncovering secrets of the brain, is that MRIs can predict "sexual orientation" with 92%…
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Science Proves Isaac Newton Doesn’t Even Break Into Top 8,000 All Time Greatest Scientists
Posted inStatistics

Science Proves Isaac Newton Doesn’t Even Break Into Top 8,000 All Time Greatest Scientists

Issac Newton was the greatest scientist. The calculus, mechanics, gravity, thermodynamics, astronomy, optics, the binomial theorem, even theology! You name it, Newton was there, looming over all of us. "No…
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  1. Eric Kay Sci Fi on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Thanks for the write-up. Thinking about things in the way of a probability distribution has always helped me, but also…

  2. Philip Rogan on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 24, 2026

    Brian, good comment. A coincidence is only a coincidence to the person to which the coincidence occurred.

  3. John Pate on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    Now do Synchronicity.

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026

    If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…

  5. Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026

    Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…

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