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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday

Posted by By Briggs May 21, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Posted by By Briggs May 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault
Posted inStatistics

Propaganda Science: Black Women Murdered More Often Than Whites, Implies “Racism” Is At Fault

Here's the propaganda headline: "Black women six times more likely to be killed than white women: Report". "Doesn't seem like propaganda to me, Briggs. I'd bet that number is true."…
Read More
CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers
Posted inCulture

CDC Mandates New Hampshire Residents Must Wear Adult Diapers

Yes, you read the headline right. Here's how it came about. Earlier this year a "Diaper Spa" opened its doors in Atkinson, New Hampshire. (Click the link if you think…
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The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?
Posted inCulture

The Regime Has Never Looked So Weak. What Will They Do Next?

This is a post written in haste, and I welcome, more than usual, your take on the events of the day, since I surely missed a lot. So Tucker Carlson…
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The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified
Posted inCulture

The World’s Easiest Sociological Prediction Has Been Verified

We've discussed the Expansion Team Effect many times. I'm always embarrassed to do so because it's so simple it's a truism. What's weird about it is that, presented one way,…
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How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability

Stick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I'm going to reveal a trick used to make you "Follow the Science!" Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision…
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Expert Calls To Experts Yet Still Fail To See Why Not All Believe In “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

Expert Calls To Experts Yet Still Fail To See Why Not All Believe In “Climate Change”

I looked up one Lasse S. Stoetzer. Soy-faced economics degree holder. Sketchy beard. Keeps Funko-Pop-like toys on his bookshelf. He looks like a living meme. I also looked up a…
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Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Our Base Metaphors & Analogies Used In Science Have Outlived Their Usefulness: Part I

Metaphors and analogies exhaust themselves. No matter how useful they are as guides to thought, pushed too far they can loosen our grip on Reality or lead to stagnation, and…
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Science After Babel by David Berlinski Reviewed
Posted inBook review

Science After Babel by David Berlinski Reviewed

David Berlinski is one of our best critics of the neo-Darwinian theory of evolution. He spends some time on this in his new book, which is a collection of pieces…
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  1. Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026

    Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    There are clear photographs of just about any phenomenon imaginable, regardless of how fast, distant, small, or ephemeral it may…

  3. Steve on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    Briggs, you fool! You should know by now that extraterrestrials have image blurring technology. And before you ask, yes, they…

  4. McChuck on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    "Tomorrow Tomorrow never comes What kind of a fool Do they take me for? Tomorrow A resting place for bums…

  5. Philip Rogan on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 20, 2026

    All I can say after reading the linked article is that I'm glad I'm not a professional academic philosopher.

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