William M. Briggs

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Class Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Statistics

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Don't miss…

Culture

People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the Year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Regular readers…

Culture

Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Here's a…

Podcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…

Briggs on Stay The Course: Have Some ClassOctober 30, 2025
Nate, Now how in the world did that happen. I fixed it and it didn't take. Fixed again, and this…
Nate on Stay The Course: Have Some ClassOctober 30, 2025
Matt it still says @briggs.com I sent you some dough using the right address though. end p values for ever!!
Briggs on Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer PapersOctober 30, 2025
Rich, Yep.
Rich on Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer PapersOctober 30, 2025
Surely the same data "proves" cancer causes alcohol consumption?
Dana on UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!October 29, 2025
What else but a meteorite could have caused the damage to the Tesla windscreen? From Brave browser : A South…

William M. Briggs

Stay The Course: Have Some Class

Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer Papers

UFO Hits United Flight. All Survive. This Time!

Changes Are Coming: Our Return to 1970s

Class 70: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Right Way

The Triumph Of The Feminine

At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?

The Superpower You Didn’t Know You Had

Class 69: Why Parameters Don’t Exist

Putin, Xi Who Must Obeyed, Occult Rituals & Living Forever

Nobody Believes Anything Based On “No Evidence”

Good Vs Bad Science (Models) & How You Can Tell The Difference: Think Twice Science

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

The Lancet’s New Push To Ban Meat

‘Termination Shock’: Newest Entry In Science Doom Naming Contest

Changing Clocks In Fall Will Stroke You Out, Fatty: Research

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

Big Things Are Happening With Celebrities, The Pope & “Climate Change”!

The Main Barrier To Reproduction Is Ideas

How You Helped Academics Justify Sex With Children

Class 66: The Difference Between Uncertainty and Decision

Stay The Course: Have Some Class

Last Call For Alcohol-Cancer Papers

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Over-Certainty Is One Of The Main Causes Of Bad Science: Brain Volume & IQ Example

People Enjoy The Expertocracy Filling The Gaps Left By Christianity’s Exit

Belief In “Spiritual Entities” Falls

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification