William M. Briggs

DIE From The Sky! Or, New Meaning To The Wild Blue Yonder

The once United States Air Force, my old employer, has decided to DIE. DIE hard. Harder than any military has ever DIEd before. Nuclear-level DIE. For not only will they…

Statistics

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

"Random" numbers are in hot demand. They're needed, for instance, in cryptography, to keep things like your bank account secure, and in science, where they're used in simulating complex systems.…

Statistics

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…

Culture

The Biological Reason Why America Meddles In So Many Conflicts Around The World

Ever see My Big Fat Greek Wedding? Charming story about a homely aging waitress with a large, fairly well off Greek family, who finds a nice, though dull, young man,…

Culture

Australian Feminists & Katharine Hayhoe Weep Over White Men Who Do Not Love “Climate Change”

Busy day at the Briggs compound, and I only have time to tell you, with regret, that the feminists are at it again. Turns out there is a journal, and…

Culture

The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter

The BMJ, once a preeminent journal of medicine, which is to say, doctors talking to other doctors about which cure works for which disease, and which doesn't, has taken up…

Statistics

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…

Culture

Our Next — And Last — President, Gavin “Gruesome” Newsom

Newsweek: Donald Trump Followers Targeted by FBI as 2024 Election Nears The federal government believes that the threat of violence and major civil disturbances around the 2024 U.S. presidential election…

Brian (bulaoren) on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
Yesterday, someone gave me a book of crossword puzzles. I was disappointed to find them rather non-challenging; no fun. Perhaps…
Cary D Cotterman on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
They're happier where nobody is smart enough to question authority, nobody has bullshit radar, and everybody kisses their asses.
Steve on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
They are right there have been changes at that platform, now called “X” (which I agree with the authors is…
Brian (bulaoren) on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026
Do electronically recorded data last after the physical instrumentations of their creation, and preservation, cease to exist? Do they have…
pouncer on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026
Internet file "bit rot" doesn't wait for our individual deaths. I have a number of thoughts, (that I expressed carefully)…

William M. Briggs

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

Class 79: Time Series Example

The Importance Of Not Making Decisions

Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously

AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic

Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series

Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance

Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions

Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI

Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well

Impossible LSAT Statistics Question

How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series

Who Still Listens To AM Radio?

Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins

What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory

What A Winter

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!

AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)

Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky

The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

DIE From The Sky! Or, New Meaning To The Wild Blue Yonder

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

The Biological Reason Why America Meddles In So Many Conflicts Around The World

Australian Feminists & Katharine Hayhoe Weep Over White Men Who Do Not Love “Climate Change”

The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Our Next — And Last — President, Gavin “Gruesome” Newsom

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification