William M. Briggs

All—As In All—Of The “Climate Change Made This Event More Likely” Claims Are False

Here's a typical recent propaganda headline: "Climate change made Libya flooding 50 times more likely: Report." This is not so. Here's another recent one from PBS: "Climate change made global…

Culture Philosophy

The Closer To REALITY, The Closer To Reality

There are any number of proofs of this proposition: The closer to Reality, the closer to reality. Here's one, recalling first that there is always a +/- to all surveys,…

Podcast Statistics

Weeping & Gnashing Of Teeth From Our Paper Saying “Climate Change” Not A Big Deal

That peer-reviewed, and therefore indisputable, paper we wrote showing, as many have showed, that "climate change" is overblown has been getting a lot of publicity. Before we come to that,…

Fun

Coin Flip Video Restored!

What a clusterfarg. Here is the video, in all it's glory. Link. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8 Sorry for the duplicate email/post.

Culture

Curse Of The Enlightenment: All Of Its Axioms Are False, Yet We Believe Them All

Why are things so bad? And why will they continue to grow worse? The Enlightenment. Also known---or, rather, as it should be known---as The Great Corruption. Things are bad because…

Statistics

The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2

My dad and I built a coin flipping machine. Then made this video (you might have to click the link): LINK FIXED. Link, because the embedding is not working. https://youtu.be/8XX0iRAN--8…

Philosophy

Experts want to take uteruses out of women and put them into men

To read today's article, it is helpful to recall that in the context of biology and medicine the prefix trans can always be translated by not a or just not.…

Fun

Apple Threatens World Destruction! “It is our aim to permanently remove carbon from the atmosphere”

I was asked to look at this video promoted by the slob---no, really: he's a slob; not that it's his worst sin---who runs Apple. Unfortunately, some of you will have…

Brian (bulaoren) on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 4, 2026
Dear Dr. Briggs For some years now, I have enjoyed reading your posts while I wash down my morning vitamins…
Russo on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 4, 2026
Three to four shorter, column length posts. BTW, I'm enjoying the new videos.
Stephen W. Shipman on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 4, 2026
One long, one short (or longer as the spirit moves you from time to time). Guess drop ins are a…
John Pate on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”June 4, 2026
There are either no space aliens or they're here and running things for their own purposes. Either way there's nothing…
John Pate on No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke CodersJune 4, 2026
The Pope is still flogging the Climate Change dead horse, which of course relies on models for its supposed veracity.…

William M. Briggs

Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?

No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions

Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer

Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday

Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”

Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves

Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples

The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power

Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer

UFO Reports About To Blast Off!

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay

What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory