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What A Winter
January 20, 2026
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
January 19, 2026
Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
January 15, 2026
AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
January 14, 2026
Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
January 13, 2026
Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
January 12, 2026
Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
January 8, 2026
The Consent Fallacy
January 7, 2026
On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
January 6, 2026
Register Your Predictions For 2026!
January 5, 2026
Happy New Year!
January 1, 2026
How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
December 31, 2025
Why The Drake Equation Fails
December 30, 2025
Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings
December 29, 2025
Merry Christmas!
December 25, 2025
Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science
December 24, 2025
Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia
December 23, 2025
Climate Models
December 22, 2025
Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?
December 20, 2025
No Class: But Here’s Some Homework
December 18, 2025
On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
December 16, 2025
Posted inStatistics

What A Winter

Posted by By Briggs January 20, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

Posted by By Briggs January 19, 2026
Continue Reading
On Why That “In Defense of Merit in Science” Paper Will Fail In Its Worthy Goal
Posted inCulture

On Why That “In Defense of Merit in Science” Paper Will Fail In Its Worthy Goal

You might have heard of the peer-reviewed article "In Defense of Merit in Science" by "intellectual dark web" members like Peter Boghossian and old-school lefties like Jerry Coyne, John McWhorter…
Read More
The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate
Posted inStatistics

The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate

Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper "Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety" by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph…
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Why The Inexorable Increase In The Expertocracy: Examples
Posted inCulture

Why The Inexorable Increase In The Expertocracy: Examples

Our goal, no easy one, is to figure the trajectory of the Expertocracy. Their goal we know. Complete total full control of every aspect of all life under the guidance,…
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There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
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What Are Your Best Theories For Carlson, Bongino, Lemon Firings?
Posted inCulture

What Are Your Best Theories For Carlson, Bongino, Lemon Firings?

My guess is that the oligarchs pushed out Don Lemon at CNN, and Tucker Carlson and Dan Bongino at Fox, in an effort to cool the flames the oligarchs lit.…
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Virtue Signaling Proves Why Science Is Broken
Posted inCulture

Virtue Signaling Proves Why Science Is Broken

Few years back some folks invited me to give a talk at Fermi Lab. Subject was how mistaken views of probability were holding particle physics back. (Which I still think…
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Resetting Global Agriculture: The Destructive Road to Dystopia — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

Resetting Global Agriculture: The Destructive Road to Dystopia — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Introduction A title that seems to carry conspiratorial overtones (some might conclude). Well, as my esteemed readers know by now, the so-called “Dutch nitrogen crisis” got me thinking; philosophically, scientifically,…
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How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another
Posted inStatistics

How An AI-Machine Learning-Physics-Sociological-Whatever Model Can Be Good For One Man & Bad For Another

A model---which I do not distinguish between a theory---can be useful to one man and useless to the next. "But Briggs, people don't treat theories the same as models." Right:…
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  1. Briggs on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    McChuck, That lieutenant must be at least a congressman by now.

  2. McChuck on What A WinterJanuary 21, 2026

    I remember the multiple blizzards of the 1970's. I had to be outside on guard patrol all night in -40…

  3. Cary D Cotterman on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    There's always something busting on a house or a car, and mean weather doesn't help. The joy of home and…

  4. shawn marshall on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    c'mon global warming!

  5. Chad W Jessup on What A WinterJanuary 20, 2026

    Wish some of that snow would come west, as it looks like La Niña is not helping out here. Repairing…

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