William M. Briggs

DIE From The Sky! Or, New Meaning To The Wild Blue Yonder

The once United States Air Force, my old employer, has decided to DIE. DIE hard. Harder than any military has ever DIEd before. Nuclear-level DIE. For not only will they…

Statistics

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

"Random" numbers are in hot demand. They're needed, for instance, in cryptography, to keep things like your bank account secure, and in science, where they're used in simulating complex systems.…

Statistics

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

How can you tell if a vaccine for a bug is effective? It's not so easy; indeed, it can be excruciatingly difficult. At the individual person level you'd need to…

Culture

The Biological Reason Why America Meddles In So Many Conflicts Around The World

Ever see My Big Fat Greek Wedding? Charming story about a homely aging waitress with a large, fairly well off Greek family, who finds a nice, though dull, young man,…

Culture

Australian Feminists & Katharine Hayhoe Weep Over White Men Who Do Not Love “Climate Change”

Busy day at the Briggs compound, and I only have time to tell you, with regret, that the feminists are at it again. Turns out there is a journal, and…

Culture

The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter

The BMJ, once a preeminent journal of medicine, which is to say, doctors talking to other doctors about which cure works for which disease, and which doesn't, has taken up…

Statistics

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…

Culture

Our Next — And Last — President, Gavin “Gruesome” Newsom

Newsweek: Donald Trump Followers Targeted by FBI as 2024 Election Nears The federal government believes that the threat of violence and major civil disturbances around the 2024 U.S. presidential election…

Brian (bulaoren) on Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With PersonalityOctober 22, 2026
Across the world, many jurisdictions ban pet "pit bulls". Are they in error?
NLR on Against Numerology: Some Basic CalculationsOctober 19, 2026
The mathematician Richard Guy wrote a paper "The strong law of small numbers", where he said, facetiously, but also serirously:…
aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026
I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.
John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026
I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…
Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026
i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

William M. Briggs

Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality

I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)

Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations

Class 97: The Goal Of Models

Book Update

Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell

Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?

Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us

Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?

Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions

Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants

Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges

Whoring For Climate Change

Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review

Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable

PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan Edwards

Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AI

Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value

Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris Podcast

Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”

Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality

I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)

DIE From The Sky! Or, New Meaning To The Wild Blue Yonder

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

Over-Certainties In Global Estimates of Vaccine Efficacy

The Biological Reason Why America Meddles In So Many Conflicts Around The World

Australian Feminists & Katharine Hayhoe Weep Over White Men Who Do Not Love “Climate Change”

The Insularity Of Experts: Why You Don’t Matter

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Our Next — And Last — President, Gavin “Gruesome” Newsom

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification