William M. Briggs

Experts’ Plans To Push European Citizens Into Poverty To Save The Planet — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Our friend Jaap Hanekamp returns with an essay to remind us it is going to get worse. This essay, slightly modified, first appeared on his site. Experts insist on destroying…

Statistics

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

We did this years ago, but it's time for a refresh for new readers. You make a bet with a bookie. You don't want X to happen, where "X" can…

Statistics

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

This one picture proves why you must distrust every new boast from every scientist. Scientists' ideas must be assumed false until they are proven true by people other than themselves.…

Statistics

“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All

My goodness, what a distinguished list of AI Scientists and "Notable Figures" who have signed the "Statement on AI Risk". Important professors of computer science from top universities. Men, and…

Statistics

How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event

We had the fourth Broken Science Initiative event this past Saturday at the Castro Ranch in Aromas, California. Which is apparently where CrossFit got its start. Standing room only. Terrific…

Culture

John Kerry To Peasants: Die, To Save The Planet

It doesn't seem to make much difference whether a man inherits his money or earns it. Once he reaches a certain threshold of the green stuff, there's a good chance…

Philosophy

Welcome To Pride In The Ability To Masturbate Into The Rectum Of Another Month

What a strange time we live in. Sodomy has always existed, and it is therefore rational to conclude it will always be with us. Every other culture has looked on…

Culture

The Only Way To Avoid Illegal Discrimination Is To Illegally Discriminate

There is nothing holier than a Victim. No person holds a more exalted place in our culture than the Victim. Rules which must be followed by the ordinary are allowed…

MikeW on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 16, 2026
There are many ways to reconcile alleged contradictions in the Bible, including the staff issue (which is not a particularly…
C-Marie on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
"Memories flag, you see,....." , BUT the Holy Spirit does not flag at all , and He It was Who…
Brian (bulaoren) on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
Should these (percieved) inconsistencies negate the whole body of teaching? I once knew a couple who were profoundly opposed to…
bmiller on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
What seems odd to me is that if he was once so fiercely committed to believing but concluded he was…
Cary D Cotterman on How A Miracle Turns MundaneApril 15, 2026
I'm still hung up on the staff issue. It doesn't make much sense for someone to tell you not to…

William M. Briggs

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Contest Winner Announced!

Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness

Proof!

Justice Ketanji Roars

Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men

Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

It’s The End Of The World Again

Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People

Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?

The Great Effeminization of the Academy

The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly

Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics

Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)

On Not Reading

The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

How A Miracle Turns Mundane

Experts’ Plans To Push European Citizens Into Poverty To Save The Planet — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy

Disinterested Audits Of All Scientific Theories Must Be Mandatory & Routine

“AI Will Kill Us All!” Say People Programming AI To Kill Us All

How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event

John Kerry To Peasants: Die, To Save The Planet

Welcome To Pride In The Ability To Masturbate Into The Rectum Of Another Month

The Only Way To Avoid Illegal Discrimination Is To Illegally Discriminate

There Is No Culture Without Inequality: Stove 1

Impose Your Beliefs Before They Impose Theirs

Telekinesis: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

The Physics Of Blessings: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification