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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Posted by By Briggs June 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!

Posted by By Briggs June 10, 2026
Continue Reading
Meet The Experts Defining Official Disinformation & Official Truths
Posted inCulture

Meet The Experts Defining Official Disinformation & Official Truths

We told you this was happening when it was happening. Not everybody believed it; indeed, most (and here I exclude regular readers) did not. And, worse, most still do not,…
Read More
Pandering To Blacks Contest Sees San Francisco Take Commanding Lead
Posted inCulture

Pandering To Blacks Contest Sees San Francisco Take Commanding Lead

Commentators expressed admiration, but not surprise, when San Francisco took what many are saying is a commanding lead in our once United States' National Black Pandering Contest. "There isn't anybody…
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An Instance Of How “The Science” Is Produced: Gender Equality Edition
Posted inStatistics

An Instance Of How “The Science” Is Produced: Gender Equality Edition

This post is, as they say, in the weeds. But it's necessary for those who want to know how The Science is produced. I saw a tweet, the veracity of…
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Woke Definition: A Stubborn And Hostile Denial Of Reality
Posted inCulture

Woke Definition: A Stubborn And Hostile Denial Of Reality

There is a to-and-fro over the definition of, and the difficulties of defining, woke. For many, like bad art or pornography, they know it when they see it, but they…
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The Western Empire Is Mor(t)ally Wounded — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

The Western Empire Is Mor(t)ally Wounded — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

I have been seeing in these past silent months the latest fin-de-siècle. The end of the cycle. It’s not pretty. At least, not for the Western Caesar. We are now…
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Upcoming Hillsdale Talk, 11 April: Philosophy & Broken Science
Posted inFun

Upcoming Hillsdale Talk, 11 April: Philosophy & Broken Science

I'll be giving a talk at Hillsdale on April 11th. Festivities begin at 5 PM, and continue long into the night (maybe 9 or 10 PM). Do me a favor,…
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The Ersatz Nitrogen Crisis or  Delusional Expertocracy and the Destruction of Dutch Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inCulture

The Ersatz Nitrogen Crisis or Delusional Expertocracy and the Destruction of Dutch Agriculture — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp

This post also ran at Jaap's site. Introduction The Dutch 'nitrogen crisis' revolves around the misconception that the quality of nature is predominantly determined by N-deposition coming from agriculture. That…
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Chinese Researchers Announce Kids Raised By “Sexual Minority” Parents Do Better Than Normal Kids
Posted inStatistics

Chinese Researchers Announce Kids Raised By “Sexual Minority” Parents Do Better Than Normal Kids

A curious, if not bizarre, peer-reviewed paper has emerged, which said things like this: "The quantitative synthesis results suggested that sexual minority families may perform better in children’s psychological adjustment…
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  1. John M on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 11, 2026

    The picture on the video link shows how boring the game is. There are so many people yawning and a…

  2. _Jim on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 11, 2026

    re: "How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power" Having skimmed the above post, I realize my…

  3. _Jim on How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?June 11, 2026

    re: "The only question is capacity to recognize guilt. If the perpetrator was allowed to vote in national elections, the…

  4. _Jim on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 10, 2026

    One gains a better understanding of the underpinnings of the grist (the extensions to the 'maths') behind QM (Quantum Mechanics)…

  5. _Jim on Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?June 10, 2026

    I echo Jean Lesperance's response ... overbooked to too many blogs these days!

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