Briggs

Spartacus Speaks; Australian Head Knocking; MI Bright Spot; Causes of Death; More! — Coronavirus Update XCIX

Last week, there was some good news. This week, it's mostly bad. I AM SPARTACUS I am not the Spartacus, but I am Spartacus. If you have seen the movie,…

Culture

Vaccine “Hesitancy” Is Caused By Hersterics, Tyrants & Midwits

We're going to suppose, you and I dear reader, for the duration of this post, that the mRNA coronadoom vaccines work, just as hersterics, tyrants, and midwits say. By work…

SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Errors About The Incarnation IV

Previous post. Week 4 refuting arguments claiming Jesus was not the Word Incarnated. Like last, this is a simple week, too. But of interest to see how some controversies fade…

Culture

The Magic Of Science — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

There always comes a time when everything becomes clear. Even in the fog of battle. That thought defined the night of Sept. 14th, when Gavin Newsom retained his governor’s chair…

Statistics

First There Was Vaccine Passports, Now They Want Carbon Passports

Experts creating the coronadoom may or may not have designed it as a weapon. They did, however, design it to kill. Maybe it got out accidentally---stupidity is always a likely…

Culture

Nine Miles From Zion — Guest Post by Uncle Mike

Uncle Mike provides us a tasty white pill. Zion, OR, is a quintessential Oregon town, pop 15,000, on the east side of the Willamette Valley, hard against the Washalla River.…

Statistics

Rare Week Of Good News, And Some Bad — Coronavirus Update XCIV

JOY IN THE STREETS If not joy, then at least some broad grins. This is the first week, in the nearly 100 we have been tracking, in which we have…

Culture

On The Confirmation Bias Of Experts & Doctors

There is a thing in bad science, and indeed in all life, called confirmation bias. I've said many times that all scientists know and believe in the concept, just as…

Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…
Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025
What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…
Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025
I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…