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Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic
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Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…
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Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos are already a half hour. I can't see your faces so…
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Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas
Posted inClass Statistics

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…
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Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser
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Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser

See the end of this post for how the class might work and details about the video. Video Yes, the lighting is terrible. I give sallow a bad name. Links:…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread
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“More to review from the Biden team” — Open Thread

Special Saturday post. I am delighted to say that I had guessed wrong about Musk. I had thought he'd never fight the Regime in any serious way. Very happy about…
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The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It
Posted inClass Statistics

The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It

HUFFIN', PUFFIN' & BLUFFIN' The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb---the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the…
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Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can
Posted inClass Statistics

Coronavirus Update IV — Take A Deep Breath — If You Still Can

Apologies for the duplicate email! I hit the wrong button yesterday and published the incomplete update meant for today. All the good stuff, caveats, and explanations are linked, some in…
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  1. hudbwu on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 15, 2025

    > you have posited that nothing has become a cause, and it is impossible the absence of anything can become…

  2. Phil R on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    My earlier post was longish and probably wasn't that clear. I think two of the problems are a lack of…

  3. Polybius on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Now that I have thought more about this I think one of our biggest problems in all fields from climate…

  4. C. P. Benischek on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025

    Evolution. As Stephen Jay Gould once sort of said, the lack of a single example in the fossil record of…

  5. John Pate on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 15, 2025

    Sigh. Just read a lot more from the London School. The first thing you have to decide, before you even…

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