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William M. Briggs

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Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World
Posted inStatistics

Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World

Here's how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely,…
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The CDC List Of Official Truths: Magnetic Vaccines Example
Posted inCulture

The CDC List Of Official Truths: Magnetic Vaccines Example

You will, I hope, forgive me if I remind you that if there is Official mis- or disinformation, then there must necessarily be Official Truths. And if there exist Official…
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The MIT Dahn Yoga Brain Respiration Experiment: How Belief In Failed Theories Persists
Posted inCulture Statistics

The MIT Dahn Yoga Brain Respiration Experiment: How Belief In Failed Theories Persists

This article began as a series beginning 3 January 2009. I thought it well to revisit it as an example of how to investigate controversial Science. Clever readers will notice…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: The Necessity Of Penance
Posted inSAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: The Necessity Of Penance

Previous post. The costs of mistakes must be covered. ON THE NECESSITY OF PENANCE AND OF ITS PARTS 1 From this, then, it is evident that if a man sins…
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An Exception To American Exceptionalism — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

An Exception To American Exceptionalism — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

When Russia took back Crimea in 2014, Vladimir Putin evidently decided he could not avoid war. So, he made ready. He then publicly played possum for eight years. But in…
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How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?
Posted inStatistics

How Does One Bring Oneself To Say “The Mortality Cost of Carbon”?

Many scientists have taken up sounding silly lately. On purpose. I don't here mean denying sex, where many have made perfect asses of themselves. I mean on "carbon". They say…
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How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days
Posted inStatistics

How Many People Are Dying & Of What These Days

Been a long while since we updated the coronadoom numbers. The big reason for our tardiness is the CDC is always late in reporting numbers, by at least eight weeks,…
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How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer
Posted inStatistics

How Many Digits Do You Report? A Surprising Answer

Question from Anon (with added paragraphifications): Message: Dear Dr Briggs, I am a lay man in statistics, who has tried to avoid this kind of sport as much as possible,…
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  1. hudbwu on Over-Certainty Of Polygenic ScoresJune 11, 2025

    I stopped midway to write this comment. What exactly is the difference between polygenic scores and two-layer neural networks? Other…

  2. NLR on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 11, 2025

    It's not just that the effects of technology are complex, it's that there's no guarantee that the results will fit…

  3. Cloudbuster on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025

    "Anyway, murder is illegal, too, yet murder is still with us. So it shouldn’t be strange that forbidding scientists to…

  4. Mike Wooly on Cosmic Radiation, Clouds, & Global WarmingJune 10, 2025

    The IPCC report that anthropogenic warming is around 0.2 degrees C per decade. That's two hundredths of a degree C…

  5. Chaeremon on AI & The Dilemma Of TechnologyJune 10, 2025

    IMHO the dot ai bubble, as direct follower of the dot com bubble, is trying to instantiate Gödel's incompleteness theorems,…

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