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Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts

This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we're 1.5 years out, it's time for a re-post. Buy it now, but it today, and buy it again…
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Posted inStatistics

Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause

The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…
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Posted inStatistics

Chapter 10 of Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics FREE for New Subscribers!

Today a deal so unbelievable that it can't be believed! No, wait. In fact, the deal was so unbelievable that it couldn't be believed. This follows logically: that which is…
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Posted inStatistics

Just What Is Signal And What Is Noise?

There are two senses of Signal and Noise (SN). The first is obvious: a signal, some known phenomenon, is corrupted by outside forces, where these caused corruptions are the noise.…
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Posted inStatistics

Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!

It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…
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Posted inStatistics

The Deadly Sin Of Reification Strikes Again!

https://twitter.com/TheRickWilson/status/725150630441000960 If you can't see the tweet, and tweets are ephemeral, the screen shot is also given. Now I do not give a damn about the election, so please not…
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Posted inStatistics

The Four Errors in Mann et al’s “The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth”

Michael E. Mann and four others published the peer-reviewed paper "The Likelihood of Recent Record Warmth" in Nature: Scientific Reports (DOI: 10.1038/srep19831). I shall call this authors of this paper…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

FiveThirtyEight Weighs In With Some Odd Affirmative Action Statistics

FiveThirtyEight ran the piece "Here's What Happens When You Ban Affirmative Action In College Admissions" that ran some dicey stats. Affirmative Action is, as all know, the practice of rewarding…
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  1. Briggs on On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble ReviewedDecember 17, 2025

    Rhetocrates, Quite right.

  2. Rhetocrates on On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble ReviewedDecember 16, 2025

    I haven't finished the whole thing, but I'd like to flag one thing that may cause confusion to readers, though…

  3. John Pate on On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble ReviewedDecember 16, 2025

    Referring to my previous comment, it's nature via nurture. In any complex system transferring the plans to the finished item…

  4. NLR on On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble ReviewedDecember 16, 2025

    It sounds like Noble has some good points. People are increasingly recognizing problems with reductionism. For instance, saying that things…

  5. Bobby Dress on How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is EnvironmentDecember 15, 2025

    I’m fairly certain that obtaining my degree from Cornell had the unintended consequence of lowering whatever theoretical IQ I might…

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