Posted inPhilosophy
What Does It Mean To Assess Risk Wrong? Coronadoom Example
There is, as de Finetti said, no such thing as probability. So there is no such thing as risk, either, since risk relies upon probability. If there is no such…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXVII: The Central Fallacy of the Panic: Updates
See the new analysis at the bottom, prompted by a question from Joe Bastardi. Update I have two words for the people who did this. You know what they are.…
Posted inStatistics
The Real State Of The COVID Crisis
In short: there isn't one. Michigan Governor Lady Whitmer extended her power grab on Tuesday, until September 4th. The Michigan legislature is run by the GOP, which, like all Republicans,…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXVI: Mandatory Vaccines & Criminalization For Refusal Suggested
Shoot Up https://twitter.com/Surgeon_General/status/1233725785283932160 That was then. This is now: Defeat COVID-19 by requiring vaccination for all. It's not un-American, it's patriotic. More: "Make vaccines free, don't allow religious or personal…
Posted inCulture
The Mass Mask — Guest Post by Uncle Mike & Rebuttal by Briggs
Uncle Mike Speaks Following this piece is a rebuttal by Yours Truly It has come to my attention that some people resent having to wear a face mask when attending…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXV: The Suppression Of Hydroxychloroquine & Other Conspiracies
The first section of this are fun conspiracies to highlight the political crisis. The second section are the numbers showing the medical crisis is over. The third section discusses the…
Posted inCulture
1968 Then And Now — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Welcome home, neighbor. Welcome to our past. Welcome to our future. Most of all, welcome back to Hué. The scene of America's last great military victory. A hard-fought victory against…
Posted inStatistics
Coronavirus Update XXIV: Why Did We Panic?
The Unmasked Bandit! I originally started this article with an imaginary dialog between myself and a Karen. Then I got kicked out of mass Sunday for not wearing a mask…