A guy correctly "sees" 4 cards out of 52. A wee P hypothesis test says he has psychic powers. Does he? We only begin this difficult question today. Video https://youtu.be/_mgOCfEkIWQ…

A lady says she has the ability to identify whether tea or milk is poured in a cup first. What does "have the ability mean?" and why is it so…

Incidentally, the header image is genuine and not AI. I still wonder why the right did not embrace the left's call to defund police. Think about no police. Think long…

This classic column originally ran 31 July 2008. I edited it to provide a working link to the paper and to add the author's Fig. 1. I have no idea,…

We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…

A coincidence, or co-incidents, as we have discussed, is the joining together of two or more events that stick in your mind and call out for a causal connection. Here…

Am I wrong that we grow weary hearing about error-laden "climate change" science? I know I am, and have been. But what about you? When Trump won the first time…

I picked a lousy (slow, pre-Fourth) day to post a criticism of "IQ" last week, and badly titled it "Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)". Something like…