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Posted inStatistics

How The IPCC Buried Evidence Showing Good News About Global Warming

Here is the Executive Summary from our friends Marcel Crok and Nicholas Lewis in their report A Sensitive Matter which is available at the Global Warming Policy Foundation (preprinted by…
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Posted inStatistics

Robert Heinlein And The Distinction Between Scientist vs Academician

Christos Argyropoulos ‏(@ChristosArgyrop) asked me to comment on his post of the same title at the blog Statistical Reflections of a Medical Doctor. Heinlein: One can judge from experiment, or…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Regression Really Is

Bookmark this one, will you, folks? If there's one thing we get more questions about and that is more abused than regression, I don't know. So here is the world's…
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Posted inStatistics

How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example

Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…
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Posted inStatistics

An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2

The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Objective Bayes Vs. Logical Probability (Vs. Frequentism)

Reader and colleague JH has rightly taken me to task (via email) for incorrectly calling, or rather misleadingly labeling, logical probability "objective Bayes." She pointed to this set of lecture…
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Posted inStatistics

Every Family Has Children Until They Have A Boy: Probability Stumper

Reader Bryan Davies quoted a poser from Math Overflow (have we heard of that?) which read: In a country in which people only want boys every family continues to have…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Scrap Statistics, Begin Anew

You or I might perhaps be excused if we sometimes toyed with solipsism, especially when we reflect on the utter failure of our writings to produce the smallest effect in…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    Sorry, the same printer's devils who occasionally sabotage Dr. Brigg's publications must have attacked my previous post; Should read; "ouroboros".…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Lacent’s Vaccination Model Says What Its Told To SaySeptember 17, 2025

    I just thunk up a term to describe this scientiststic strain of thought (hmm, is that one pun or two?);…

  3. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They didn't include the red meat is bad thing, they need to try harder, 7/10.

  4. Rex8or Legitimax Prime on Chinese Scientists Pull Off Hilarious “Climate Change” Troll?September 17, 2025

    They got the temperature increase, sugar is bad and disadvantaged affected disproportionately things in but there's no red meat kills…

  5. Cookie on The Various Solutions To Black Crime AnalyzedSeptember 17, 2025

    The cure for recidivism has always been hanging.

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